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Harley Davidson 10-Q

Some interesting items from the 10-Q released by Harley Davidson (HOG).

HDFS (Harley Davidson Financial Services)
Income from securitizations during the first six months of 2008 was lower as compared to 2007 due primarily to the loss on the first quarter 2008 securitization transaction and the absence of a second quarter securitization transaction. This compares to two securitization transactions completed in the first six months of 2007.

During the first six months of 2008, HDFS sold $540.0 million in retail motorcycle loans in a securitization transaction and recognized a loss of $5.4 million, or 0.99% as a percentage of loans sold. This compares to a gain as a percentage of loans sold of 1.9%, or $32.5 million, on $1.75 billion of loans securitized in the first six months of 2007. The loss in 2008 was driven by increased securitization funding costs due to capital market volatility and higher projected credit losses. During the first six months of 2008, HDFS retained $54.0 million of the subordinated securities issued by the securitization trust. The subordinated securities that were retained have been included in the investment in retained securitization interests (a component of finance receivables held for investment) in the Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets. The cash proceeds from the 2008 securitization transaction are net of the cost of the retained subordinated securities.

Additionally, income from securitizations was negatively impacted during the first six months of 2008 by a $6.3 million write down of certain retained securitization interests. The write down, which occurred in the second quarter of 2008 and is considered a permanent impairment, resulted from a decline in the fair value of certain retained securitization interests due to higher actual and anticipated credit losses on those securitization portfolios. This compares to an impairment charge of $3.5 million incurred during the first six months of 2007.

Annualized losses on HDFS’ managed retail motorcycle loans were 2.14% during the first six months of 2008 compared to 1.63% during the first six months of 2007. The 30-day delinquency rate for managed retail motorcycle loans at June 29, 2008 increased to 4.65% from 4.36% at July 1, 2007. Managed retail loans include loans held by HDFS as well as those sold through securitization transactions. The increase in losses was primarily due to a higher incidence of loss resulting from an increase in delinquent accounts. The Company expects that HDFS will continue to experience higher delinquencies and credit losses as a percentage of managed retail motorcycle loans in 2008 as compared to 2007.

I would have though that these might have been worse than reported. The 30 day delinquency was essentially flat and portfolio losses were only .6% higher despite the credit market conditions. Harley Davidson’s lending arm is doing markedly better that either auto or credit card lenders are currently. With some visibility returning to credit markets, these might be the highest these ratios get a nd we could see additions to earnings from here on out.

Financing Activities

The Company’s financing activities consist primarily of share repurchases, stock issuances, dividend payments and finance debt activity. During the first half of 2008, the Company repurchased 3.8 million shares of its common stock at a total cost of $150.1 million. The Company repurchased 3.1 million of these shares under a general authorization provided by the Company’s Board of Directors in October 2006 to buy back 20.0 million shares. As of June 29, 2008, no shares remained under this authorization.

The remaining 0.7 million shares were repurchased under an authorization granted by the Company’s Board of Directors in December 2007, which separately authorized the Company to buy back up to 20.0 million shares of its common stock. In addition, the Company also has an authorization from the Company’s Board of Directors that is designed to provide the Company with continuing authority to repurchase shares to offset dilution caused by the exercise of stock options and the issuance of nonvested stock. Please see Part II, Item 2 “Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds” for additional details regarding the Company’s share repurchase activity and authorizations.

Full Filing

Disclosure (“none” means no position):

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