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Some Interesting Legal Opinion on General Growth Chapter 11

The firm of Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen and Katz has put out some very interesting opinions as to the General Growth (GGWPQ) Chapter 11. It goes to the central thesis we have here that the lenders, one way or another will end up extending maturities on the loans. This, in turn, will leave tremendous value for the common shareholders.

First this from 8/12:
GGP WLRK

Here is the applicable section:

Given the novelty of some of these issues, it is not yet clear how the coming wave of real estate restructuring and bankruptcies will play out. While this round went to GGP and against the SPE and CMBS lenders, it remains to be seen where the balance struck by the GGP court between creditors’ rights and the interests of equityholders leads when thorny issues such as cramming down secured lenders to extend maturities and alter pricing and other terms to the benefit of equity are presented to the court, or how negotiation and settlement discussions – both in formal bankruptcy proceedings and in consensual non-bankruptcy restructurings – will play out in the post-GGP era. The prospect of SPEs being included in consolidated bankruptcy proceedings will also raise issues not addressed in GGP, such as whether solvent SPEs will participate in an enterprise’s DIP financing, potentially structurally subordinating mezzanine lenders. Another twist may be the bypassing of the intricate consent and control mechanics in pooling and servicing agreements, with CMBS certificateholders working independently of their servicers.

Whether or not consistent with the expectations of creditors and debtors, the GGP ruling is consistent with the general tendency of bankruptcy courts to be pragmatic and to place substance over form. As the GGP court concluded: “These Motions [to dismiss] are a diversion from the parties’ real task, which is to get each of the [debtors] out of bankruptcy as soon as feasible. The [secured lenders] assert talks with them should have begun earlier. It is time that negotiations commence in earnest.”

Then on 8/24 this:
REIT and Real Estate Restructurings and Bankruptcies – Further Observations From the Front Lines

Again ,the applicable portion:

The “cramdown” provisions of the Bankruptcy Code (colloquially, in the case of a secured creditor, “cram up”) permit a plan of reorganization to be approved over the dissent of a class of creditors if the plan is “fair and equitable”. Even an over-collateralized loan need not be paid off in cash in a bankruptcy case, and in today’s climate of scarce refinancing capital, non-payment and partial payment have become common. With respect to secured creditors, a plan is fair and equitable if, among other alternatives, it allows the creditors to retain their liens and provides for new or “rolled over” debt in an amount, and with a value equal to, the secured claim. However, the appropriate interest rate, maturity and covenants of the new obligations are not specified by the Bankruptcy Code. Most courts refer to the market in deciding such terms, but some courts allow for the possibility that the market is inefficient (a serious risk in today’s financial climate) in choosing terms that will not result in the new instrument trading at par. In addition, the 2004 U.S. Supreme Court decision in Till v. SCS Credit Corporation – a chapter 13 case of uncertain applicability in chapter 11 – suggests that cramdown rates in the range of prime plus 1 – 3% are appropriate. Certain GGP shareholders have publicly floated the notion of cramming up GGP SPE debt with seven-year paper at current interest rates. Whether such terms would pass muster before a court depends on any number of factors. However, in the recent Spectrum Brands case secured creditors facing both a reinstatement and cram-up fight reached a consensual agreement with the debtor that gave them a 250 bps margin bump, a LIBOR floor and an actual shortening of maturity relative to their prepetition credit agreement.

This and other cases settled both in and out of court in recent months suggest that the uncertainty surrounding cramdown tends to lead parties, where debt is secured but cannot be refinanced, to compromise solutions – rates not so high as might be incurred in a refinancing, nor so low as the rates that prevailed in the recent bubble financing years.

It is important that the Judge in the case has a very wide range of latitude as it pertains to remedies. Other than maturity extensions, other options simply make very little sense. The battle now becomes over not whether or not to extend them, but for how long and at what rate. As long as CMBS markets remain as restricted as they are, the maturities have to be pushed out farther or the Judge risks being in the same spot a few years from now and this new debt comes due without a market to refinance it in.


Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long GGWPQ

9 replies on “Some Interesting Legal Opinion on General Growth Chapter 11”

I dont really see a whole company buy-out happening here. The problem being that it would have to be a LBO and I don't think that even spg is in a position to do an entire LBO. Especially, since if people are scared to lever up to buy a single property like faneuil hall(remember back in feb ggp execs said that even investors who wanted to buy faneuil hall couldent secure the cash necessary to do the deal.) then they are prolly more scared of buying a whole portfolio of properties, ie. everything ggp owns.

I think what is much more likely to happen is you see some selling of properties. I think spg has somewhere in the ballpark of $3.5B cash. A couple others have been hoarding cash, but then of course they'll want it to be worth while. Keep in mind that is pure speculation that spg will use it to buy some of ggp's properties as they have a few options. The worst case being de-levering themselves a bit.

Remember, the who point to going into BK isnt to get the share price up but rather to reduce the debt that ggp carries….And to do that equitably among the stakeholders in the company's capital structure. The share price is just the symptom, the debt load is the disease.

Thanks,

Care to speculate what transpires and how much debt gets reduced, what kind of extensions we get? And ultimatley where the symptom of share price we land?

Could be anything really. Todd has done a number of post relating to the case, i suspect 25-30 individual posts starting at about September/November of last year when Lehman blew up. I'm not going to list them all as there are a lot. Look for them on his Blog Archive on the left side of the page. I do suggest going through each one of them thoroughly. Also, the message boards on Google's finance site is really good. You can usually get some pretty good answers at google, i find the level of maturity on the google boards amazing and will probably never happen again in my life time. Yahoo's finance page is sh*t, dont waste your time (pardon the language). There are a number of other really good blogs out there that kind of focus on ggp. I suggest observations-from-the-inside.blogspot.com . He has at least a half-dozen good posts, some of which kinda reiterates todd's posts.

Then of course there is the actual primary court documents which get updated almost daily and the k's and q's. Some of it goes back to April when they declared b/k and the k's and q's go on for well..whatever is SECs db's

As for specific scenarios, Ackmans presentation is a guide but I stress its a guide. Todd has that presentation linked some time in early June (i think). I think there are really two camps right now, one that says there is a lot of value in the common and another that says its either perfectly priced now or there is no value left in the common. As of a definitive value for the common. I dont think anyone can give you that right now. It just depends on too many factors much like a severely ill person recovering from a bad car crash or something. But there are encouraging signs of at least a partial recovery(ie. a partial dilution of the common). Once again, todd blogs on these and so does a few others.

If anyone else wants to add anything or call me out on something please do and as always you need to make your own decision regarding the issues involved. I dont want to scare you off but Gen. Growth is in bankruptcy.

Thanks for the additional resources.

I have done my own research on this stock and I cant see how anybody can say its worth 0. Obviously no one can really tell what its worth currently but trading 1-2 times current FFO means its trading at a huge discount for one. I see scenarios between 5-35 depending on how the creditors play ball. Huge window to be sure.

As for it being in bankruptcy…I dont see it as a bankrupt company. Its truly a pecular situation GGP is in or was in this past year. Cant sell, cant refinance. The company makes money and is there any REIT that can actually make these types of balloon payments? To my knowledge the property is either sold or the debt is refinanced. Nobody ever really makes the payment.

Its a fascinating investment and I guess I like to hear other's opoinions on it because it so interesting.

Thanks again guys

Question for you all. How will the non BK properties get factored into the mix….If common shares get wiped out then isnt there still value in the non filed properties? And who has rights to these assets?

good question…

the non bk entities cannot be touched by creditors (their value remains in tact). but that is diff. than the common. the common takes into account the whole pie, not the individual pieces…

make sense?

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