As I sit here and think about the themes from this year’s Congress, here is what I come up with:
- Sovereign debt is screwed. Short them (US, Japan, Europe)
- Last year the overwhelming theme was buy gold……that worked out
- Look international (except for the activists….they want to be in US)
- Valuations are still very cheap across many sectors
- Value investors should not ignore tech just because Buffett does (he doesn’t understand it, doesn’t mean you cant)
- “Missing” a purchase (not buying something that goes up) matters not, making a bad purchase really does
- There is a sea-change happening politically this year.
- Japan equities are cheap….three different investors are looking there (doesn’t mean the whole market is cheap, just that there are big bargains there)…. “net-nets” abound
- Not a single speaker backed the current economic path taken in Washington despite several admitting they voted for those in power.
- Best speakers? Burbank, Bass, Einhorn, Ackman, Roepers
- Worst Speaker? Pabrai hands down (refused to give a pick when asked by Tilson and his presentation simple parroted his recent book….no specifics…those in audience thought he “copped out”… I agree)
- The remaining speakers were excellent, the above are just the extremes
- All in all another great Congress. Several very good ideas and very a thought provoking two days. Special thanks to all those who introduced themselves and for the kind words. It was wonderful meeting and talking. I look forward to seeing you all again next year.
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