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Dow / Monsanto Announcement Call

“Today’s announcement is one of many more to come”. Andrew Liveris

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Durability.
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Performance.
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US Corn Market Goal

Dow (DOW) looks to become the #3 US corn player with this deal. Currently they have 1% of the US market and Monsanto (MON) has 25% currently. DuPont’s (DD) Pioneer is #2 with 10%. For Dow to become #3, this would take their market share from the current 1% to well over 5% of the US market (minimum 4.5 million acres of corn planting based on 2007 planting figures). Liveris did say he “has no doubt” Dow Agro has the ability to “be better than #3”.

Dow did say they “are disproportionally strong in our technology vs our market share in the seed business.” They expect this agreement with change that. Dow said “this will be the ultimate technology in corn.”

Dow sees no competitors coming to market with anything similar before them.

Liveris was asked about Q3 earnings for the company as a whole and did touch on it. His answer was rather “cautiously optimistic” as he said. He did say that US energy policy is hurting the US competitive position in the world. There is enough natural gas off the US shore to power the US economy for 100 years yet current policies prohibits it’s extraction.

Wonder why jobs are going overseas?

A full PDF. of the presentation is available here

2 replies on “Dow / Monsanto Announcement Call”

There has been a huge push for Monsanto in the past two months. I read another article that says I should buy puts to protect my investment. Do you agree with this site? richerthanyourdad.com

Phil,

personally i would not. the majority of the time it is the seller, not the buyer of options that comes out ahead. that being said, buying puts over time will reduce your gains.

that being said, say you are going to sell in 2 months for tax reasons (long term vs short term gain). only then would i consider it to protect against a large drop. again this only makes sense if earnings are due or another event that may effect the stock….

good?

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