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Tuesday’s Upgrades and Downgrades


UPGRADES
Sprint Nextel (S)= Pali Research Sell » Neutral
Arch Chemicals (ARJ)= Wedbush Morgan Hold » Buy
Advanced Micro (AMD)= AmTech Research Hold » Buy
Perini (PCR)= BMO Capital Markets Market Perform » Outperform
BB&T Corp (BBT)= Keefe Bruyette Underperform » Mkt Perform
Columbus McKinnon (CMCO)= Rodman & Renshaw Mkt Perform » Mkt Outperform
LaserCard (LCRD)= Stanford Research Sell » Hold
Fluor (FLR)= Stanford Research Sell » Hold
KC Southern (KSU)= BMO Capital Markets Market Perform » Outperform
Endo Pharm (ENDP)= Citigroup Sell » Hold
Sealed Air (SEE)= Wachovia Mkt Perform » Outperform
Potash (POT)= Scotia Capital Sector Perform » Sector Outperform
Seagate Tech (STX)= Needham & Co Buy » Strong Buy $33
St. Mary Lnd/Expl (SM)= Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Neutral » Buy
Goodrich Petroleum (GDP)= Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Neutral » Buy
Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY)= UBS Neutral » Buy
Staples (SPLS)= UBS Neutral » Buy
Research In Motion( RIMM)= Oppenheimer Perform » Outperform
Cerner (CERN)= Broadpoint Capital Neutral » Buy
Wrigley (WWY)= JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight
priceline.com (PCLN)= Citigroup Hold » Buy
Double Hull Tankers (DHT)= Citigroup Hold » Buy
Brookfield Asset Mngmt (BAM)= Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform

DOWNGRADES
RPC Inc (RES)= Canaccord Adams Buy » Hold
PNC Bank (PNC)= Ferris Baker Watts Buy » Neutral
Security Capital Assurance (SCA)= Deutsche Securities Buy » Hold
MBIA Inc (MBI)= Deutsche Securities Buy » Hold
AMBAC Fincl (ABK)= Deutsche Securities Buy » Hold
Advanced Life Sciences (ADLS)= Lazard Capital Buy » Hold
AptarGroup (ATR)= Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Stanley Inc. (SXE)= Cowen & Co Outperform » Neutral
Medco Health Solutions (MHS)= Citigroup Buy » Hold
Express Scripts (ESRX)= Citigroup Buy » Hold
MBIA Inc (MBI)= Citigroup Buy » Hold
AMBAC Fincl (ABK)= Citigroup Buy » Hold
Stryker (SYK)= Piper Jaffray Buy » Neutral
Under Armour (UA)= Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Zymogenetics (ZGEN)= Oppenheimer Perform » Underperform
PrivateBancorp (PVTB )=Oppenheimer Perform » Underperform
Comerica (CMA)= Friedman Billings Outperform » Mkt Perform
AMBAC Fincl (ABK)= Banc of America Sec Buy » Neutral
Security Capital Assurance (SCA)= Banc of America Sec Buy » Neutral
MBIA Inc (MBI)= Banc of America Sec Buy » Neutral
Royal Philips Electronics (PHG)= Lehman Brothers Overweight » Underweight

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"Fast Money for" Tuesday


Tuesday’s Picks (markets closed Monday)

None

Friday’s Results
Macke, Adami and Finerman all recommend buying if the market gaps significantly lower at the open in the morning.

For example, if the Dow average .DJIA 12159.21 opens down 200 points that will be a sign of capitulation. Can’t track this one…….

2008 Records:
Brian Schaeffer= 0-1
Carter Worth= 0-1
Jon Najarian= 3-1
Jeff Macke= 4-3
Tim Seymore= 2-1
Guy Adami= 3-5
Pete Najarian= 3-3
Karen Finerman= 3-3

2007 Results (Since 6/21):
Guy Adami= 58-46 = 56%
Jeff Macke= 60-40 = 60%
Pete Najarian= 49-41 = 54%
Karen Finerman= 40-30 = 57%

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Monday’s Liks

Goldman, Snipes, IRS, IRS

– What made them different when it came to mortages?

– Just goes to show you, brains and wealth are not necessarily connected.

– More people are getting audited

– Especially if you are a millionaire

Disclosure (“none” means no position):

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Sears Advertising Now Featuring Brands

Anyone else catch the NFL network today?

All season the shows have been sponsored by Sears (SLHD), the store.

Today, the pre-game show is being sponsored by “Craftsmen, available at Sears”. The Craftsmen logo is all over everything..

The commercials, once the “Sears Book” variety are now Kenmore commercials, “available at Sears”.

This would lead one the believe Friday’s announcement about breaking up Sears into a Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) like holding company has been in the works for some time and Sears Holdings is farther ahead of this than many believe.

Ad campaigns are not altered on a dime.

Disclosure (“none” means no position): Long Sears, None

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Sprint: A Good Service Experience?

After blogging about the “shortcomings” of the customer experience being a Sprint (S) subscriber, something really different happened. I had a great experience…

After a recent ice storm both my cell and internet reception was affected. Usually when this happens, I begin to cry because I know what is in store for me. A static filled call to a foreign land with someone who cannot speak or understand the language I speak and seems ill-equipped to handle the problem I have (or any problem that involves me explaining it in English).

Imagine my surprise when I placed the call and the person who answered the phone had a southern accent. I was filled with a joy I had not experienced since the merger between Sprint and Nextel. The person on the phone was pleasant and helpful..

After a transfer to another department and the angst ridden wait on hold as I pondered the astronomical odds of yet another rep that spoke my language, I began to leap for joy as the voice on the phone said as clear as day, “can I help you?”.

I explained my problem and they deduced it was a problem with the tower in my area and said they would send a crew to fix it. An hour later it was..

New CEO Dan Hesse has said his first priority is fixing the customer service issues plaguing the company…. so far so good from where I sit, finally.

With both Verizon (VZ) and AT&T (T) still adding customers, this is step one in any turnaround for the company. Last quarter Sprint lost 683,000 “post-paid” subscribers which are the most valuable customers. They have long-term contracts and pay bills each month. This was about three times the 250,000 that the Street estimated they would lose. These losses are especially damaging because those customers probably signed on to one or two year contracts with AT&T and Verizon Wireless and are gone for a while.

While the stock got hammered Friday, was anyone really surprised at those results? Sprint has bee rolling downhill for over a year now. The good news at least for shareholders is that they at least seem to be fixing their largest problem..

Disclosure (“none” means no position): None

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This Week’s Dividend Hikes


BNC Bancorp-(BNCN)= 11.1%
Cintas Corp-(CTAS) =17.9%
First Busey Corp-(BUSE) = 11.1%
First Community Corp-(FCCO)= 14.3 %
Intel Corp-(INTC)= 13.3%
Schlumberger Ltd-(SLB)= 20.0%
Linear Technology-(LLTC) = 16.7%

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Lampert’s Move: Yes, Its About Brands

Eddie Lampert’s move at Sears Holdings (SHLD) on Friday is a big one in unlocking value at the retailer.

In November I stressed that Sears was not so much of a retailer story but a brand one. The general idea was that post and several others was that Lampert would eventually leverage the quality brands he has.

The Wall St. Journal reported Saturday that Lampert is doing just that.

Said the Journal, “A Sears spokesman confirmed the moves late Friday, saying the new structure will provide operating businesses with “greater control, authority and autonomy.”

It continued, “The contemplated restructuring would create separate units to manage Sears’s real-estate holdings and run brands such as Kenmore, Diehard and Craftsman. It isn’t clear how the units would be divided or which unit would run the stores themselves.

The structure would allow Mr. Lampert to spin off or close business units more easily, said a person knowledgeable about his thinking. “He warmed to the idea of a spin-off strategy,” this person said. The company also is willing to be flexible about how each unit will be set up, based on the skills of its operating executive. One practical effect of that could be to reduce costs.”

He is essentially setting up Sears like Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A).

This is probably the single best thing Lampert could have done. Why? Let’s say I am the newly minted head of the Kenmore line. What is my first move? Pick up the phone and call Home Depot (HD) and Lowe’s (LOW) and see who want to sell some of the best appliances out there. When I hang up, I tell them they can expect a call from the Craftsmen guy next. Will they license the brands to GE (GE) to expand sales even more?

Will we see Diehard batteries in Wal-Mart’s (WMT) or Targets’s (TGT) automotive sections soon? How about AutoZone’s (AZ)?

With Wal-Mart consistently trying to upgrade it apparel options, could we see either Lands End, Joe Boxer, Covington, Structure or Canyon River Blues on the shelves? With Target looking for refreshed options after a very disappointing holiday season, might they take a stab at it?

The main issue with Sears as it is set up now is that the closing of questionable locations now dramatically impacts sales. If the brands are being sold through other locations, closing and selling stores can have a more positive effect on the bottom line as the sales impact is not nearly as great but the expense reduction is the same.

We know Target has been begging Lampert to sell them hundreds of locations. Could the newly separated real estate management arm rather than selling them become a landlord to Target? Rather than just closing a Kmart location, rent it to Target. In that respect, that division becomes a REIT to the holding company. With 3,500 locations under it, the options are incredible.

The point is that if the main brands that account for the majority of the profits currently are licensed and sold through other outlets, the importance of the physical stores are diminished. It also means that Sears now has more options for the marginal stores it may be carrying now. Sears could keep the best and most profitable locations while disposing of the lesser ones through leases or outright sales and keep merchandise sales and profits going through other retailers.

This is exciting..

Disclosure (“none” means no position): Long Sears, Long Wal-Mart, None in others

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This Week’s Insider Buys

Ruby Tuesday Inc (RT)= $4,399,115
Smithfield Foods Inc (SFD)= $4,180,220
Antigenics Inc De (AGEN)= $ 3,912,969
Zhongpin Inc (HOGS)= $ 3,901,573
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV)= $ 2,060,639
Cheniere Energy Inc (LNG)= $1,830,000
Shoretel Inc (SHOR)= $ 1,278,979
American Capital Strategies Ltd (ACAS)= $1,275,289
Xtl Biopharmaceuticals Ltd (XTLB)= $ 1,262,070
Stein Mart Inc (SMRT)= $1,143,441
Iomega Corp (IOM)= $ 1,111,895

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Top Stories of the Week at Value Investing News

A long weekend so a nice long list. Some really interesting article this week…

Visit Value Investing News here.

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Ackman In 3 More Swap Transactions in Borders

Pershing’s Bill Ackman just can’t get his hands on Borders (BGP) share fast enough.

In an after hours SEC filing Friday, Ackman acquired rights to another 1.064,163 share of Borders. This now gives him an economic interest in approximately 26% of outstanding shares.

Transaction details:
1. The reporting person, for the account of Pershing Square, L.P. (“PSI”), Pershing Square II, L.P. (PSII), and Pershing Square International, Ltd. (“PSIL”), entered into cash-settled total return swaps with a broker-dealer counterparty for a commission equal to $0.03 per notional share subject to such swaps. The first swap (the “First Swap”) was entered into on January 17, 2008 and expires on August 5, 2009. Under the terms of the swap (i) PSI is obligated to pay to the counterparty any negative price performance under $9.99 for each of the 438,723 notional BGP common shares subject to the swap (the “First Swap Reference Shares”), plus interest, and (ii) the counterparty is obligated to pay to PSI any positive price performance over $9.99 for each of the First Swap Reference Shares, plus any dividends paid during the life of the swap.
2. The second swap (the “Second Swap”) was entered into on January 17, 2008 and expires on August 5, 2009. Under the terms of the swap (i) PSIL is obligated to pay to the counterparty any negative price performance under $9.99 for each of the 619,419 notional BGP common shares subject to the swap (the “Second Swap Reference Shares”), plus interest, and (ii) the counterparty is obligated to pay to PSIL any positive price performance over $9.99 for each of the Second Swap Reference Shares, plus any dividends paid during the life of the swap.
3. The third swap (the “Third Swap”) was entered into on January 17, 2008 and expires on August 5, 2009. Under the terms of the swap (i) PSII is obligated to pay to the counterparty any negative price performance under $9.99 for each of the 6,021 notional BGP common shares subject to the swap (the “Third Swap Reference Shares”), plus interest, and (ii) the counterparty is obligated to pay to PSII any positive price performance over $9.99 for each of the Third Swap Reference Shares, plus any dividends paid during the life of the swap.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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Berkshire Still Adding To Burlington Northern Stake

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)disclosed it added again to its Burlington Northern (BNI)stake in an SEC filing Friday.

In the filing Friday after market close, Berkshire disclosed it bought 1.2 million more shares of the railroad.

Purchases:
1/16: 44,200 shares @ $76.55
1/17: 205,800 shares @ $77.83
1/18: 996,100 shares at $76.97

This brings Berkshire total holding in the company to 63,775,118 shares

Disclosure (“none” means no position):More admiration, None

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Leucadia Again Buys Options on AmeriCredit

In an SEC filing moments ago Leucadia (LUK) increased its position in AmeriCredit (ACF)

Leucadia purchased options that expire 3/14/08 on 1.25 million Americredit shares.

The options have an exercise price of $9 a share. Leucadia now holds options on 2.25 million shares all exercisable at $9 a share.

Disclosure (“none” means no position): Admiration for Leucadia, None

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52 Weeks Low’s 1/18


(YHOO) Yahoo! Inc= $20.59
(WFC ) Wells Fargo & Company=$ 25.31
(WCC ) Wesco Intl Inc =$33.00
(WB ) Wachovia Corp =$ 30.73
(UA ) Under Armour Inc =$27.39
(TYC ) Tyco Intl Ltd Bermuda=$ 33.85
(TWX ) Time Warner Inc =$15.46
(OFI ) Overhill Farms Inc =$2.32
(OC ) Owens Corning New =$17.30
(O ) Realty Income Corp =$21.31
(NSC ) Norfolk Southern Corp =$ 44.05
(NR ) Newpark Resources, Inc =$4.16
(S) Sprint = $8.71

Disclosure (“none” means no position):

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Bernanke Profile This Weekend

Roger Lowenstein, who wrote one of the two best books on Buffett I have ever read has a piece on Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke in The NY Times this weekend. It is a must read..

Here is the story:

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Pershing Gets A Seat at Borders Table

Richard McGuire, is one of five people responsible for managing about $6 billion for Pershing, is now on the Board of Directors at Borders (BGP).

If you remember, Pershing recently upped its stake to 24% and has a history or pushing for change in its investments.

In a statement they parties said:
“Mick brings substantial expertise, financial sophistication and fresh insights to the Borders Group Board,” said Chief Executive Officer George Jones. “We are pleased to welcome him and look forward to benefiting from his involvement. His addition, and our recent election of Mike Archbold, strengthen the Borders Group Board, reflecting our continued determination to pursue the best interests of our stockholders.”

“I am optimistic about the future of Borders and look forward to working with the Board and the management team as the company executes its strategic turnaround plan,” McGuire said. “The company has many near and long-term opportunities. The plan is a sound strategic roadmap and I’m pleased to be part of a process designed to deliver value for all shareholders over the long-term.”

I still cannot see the big interest Ackman has in Borders but I just cannot wait to see how this thing shakes out.. I am sure he has big plans.

Disclosure (“none” means no position): None

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