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"Fast Money’" for Monday


Monday’s Picks
No picks for Monday

Friday’s Results
Jeff Macke recommends getting long Disney (DIS). Open $32.33 Close $32.94 GAIN

Karen Finerman likes ValueClick (VCLK).Open $22.63 Close $23.61 GAIN

Pete Najarian prefers Microsoft (MSFT).Open $35.52 Close $36.06 GAIN

Results since 6/21/2007:

Guy Adami= 57-45 = 60%
John Najarian= 13-4 = 76%
Jeff Macke= 60-40 = 66%
Pete Najarian= 48-40 = 57%
Tim Seymore= 7-7 = 50%
Karen Finerman= 38-30 = 56%
Stacey Briere-Gilbert= 3-0 = 100
Ned Riley= 1-0 = 100%
Carter Worth= 0-1 = 0%

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This Week’s Insider Purchases

INSIDER PURCHASES
Anesiva Inc ANSV = 7,999,997
Imax Corp IMAX = 5,598,082
Internet America Inc GEEK = 2,480,000
Chesapeake Energy Corp CHK = 1,929,579
Unitrin Inc UTR= 1,790,607
First Acceptance Corp FAC = 1,579,479
Isle Of Capri Casinos Inc ISLE = 1,576,086
O Charley S Inc CHUX = 1,470,364
Kronos Worldwide Inc KRO = 1,297,182
General Electric Co GE = 1,280,521
Ardea Biosciences Inc RDEA = 1,238,851
Macerich Co MAC= 1,221,455
Churchill Downs Inc CHDN= 1,200,670

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The Weeks Top Stories at Value Investing News

The week’s top picks from VIN. Ever heard of Warren Buffett?

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Super-SIV Fund Abandoned: Very Good News

Why is it good news? It simply means it is no longer needed.

At the request of Hank Paulson, Head of The Treasury Department, Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C) and J.P. Morgan (JPM) had been working to set up the SIV fund since September. It was proposed to buy assets from so-called structured investment vehicles (SIV’s), removing the direct risk from the banks.

The fact that the banks feel it is no longer needed is very good news indeed. It means the write downs for the SIV’s at the institutions can’t go much lower. These things ARE worth something. Citigroup’s decision to put them on the balance sheet also is a very good event. They will provide clarity.

I have been stumping for financials since about October. They will be the big winners next year and our next purchases will be in the sector again. Currently we own Citi (C), Wachovia (WB) and Goldman Sachs (GS). Goldman is an automatic buy under $200, Citi under $30 and Wachovia under $39.

Our next purchases will be a troubled mortgage lender and a Buffett favorite.

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Earn 2% and Change The World with Andrew Corn

Most of you know I am involved with KIVA. Andrew Corn over at Clear Asset Management has a wonderful group he is involved with. Please read and invest.

Dear Friends,

It is the season. The season of holidays and the season of requests. Mine is a request to invest. Invest in people and receive a return beyond dollars and cents. Below is my blog post from this morning. I hope you consider joining me and my family and the thousands of others trying to change and repair a small piece of the world.

Happy Holidays,

Andy


Earn Two Percent and Change the World

It is that time of year, the holidays. The old movies are on TV and one of my favorites is It’s a Wonderful Life. A key take-away of the movie is that everyone is connected. Our actions can have an impact on a global basis.

That same powerful, enabling concept can hold true in investing.

Now let’s move to US foreign policy. There is a hypothesis in some circles that our vast aid sometimes breeds resentment. The richest country in the world is providing a handout. Many people are proud and resent handouts. The old Chinese proverb goes: “give a person a fish, feed them for a day, teach a person to fish and feed them for a lifetime.” This philosophy of investing in individuals’ ability to make their own living can translate as follows:

The Investment Thesis

* Touch over 100 lives with a minimal investment of $1,000 (a three year lockup)
* Loan people the tiny amount they need to buy “a fishing pole;” we are not “teaching anyone to fish”
* Earn 2% in the process

The essence of my investment thesis combines interest income with touching over 100 lives over three years, empowering them to help themselves through an entrepreneurial endeavor. The concept of MicroBanking is not new. Unfortunately it has been perverted by some large banks. My family has had the privilege to meet and work with a not for profit organization. They charge the lowest amount of interest possible as a microleander and pay interest back to their investors.

The Bank was founded in 1975 by the World Council of Churches and is the largest, most far reaching organization of its kind. The loans have no religious overtone. This is only about non-profit microbanking, not about converting the masses. I believe in this so strongly that I have started a personal web site to assist them at www.InvestingBack.com which is chock full of information.

How to Get Started

I recommend you invest your hard earned money to help people earn their way out of a life of poverty. They accomplish this by borrowing small amounts of money and paying it back. The default rate is lower than credit card defaults in the US. Every investor has received their principal investment back along with interest.

Invest a minimum of $1,000 for three years and earn a two percent interest rate. This is not a donation! It is an investment.

The money will be loaned, mostly to women, who will use this money ($100 borrowed on average) to devise a way to make an honest living, feed and clothe their family and provide basic healthcare.

I believe giving someone money because he or she is poor is not helping them as much as lending them money to create a business, get on their feet and keep earning money. I am investing in people helping themselves.

It truly is a wonderful life!

Your money is invested in the loan pool of the Micro Bank which invests it over and over again, helping many people. You are NOT placing one cent into administration or fund raising. Your investment touches many people (remember the movie scenario) helping individuals, families and touching whole communities. Yes, each investment into the loan portfolio makes a material difference!

My Quest
The promise I made to my family, who are all in on this, is not to stop talking, writing and cajoling people about micro banking until at least 99 additional families have invested alongside us. For those that know me well, the whisper number is 999. Together we can help a lot of families and repair a small piece of the world.

Invest Now!
http://www.investingback.com/ap/Invest/tabid/56/Default.aspx

The bottom Line
Too many funds are down for the year. A daily liquid savings account pays near zero. How many money markets are invested in level three junk bonds and are in trouble? Through this investment, you know who the lender is, where the money is going and all of the stats are a few links away.

I suggest investing more than the minimum and doing it with your family this weekend.

Make money and make a difference.
www.InvestingBack.com

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Whitman on Ackman… Video

Here is the video from this mornings comments from Martin Whitman on Bill Ackman

Here is the video

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Whitney Tilson Interviewed On a 360 Point Down Day

Whitney is interviewed on a 360 point down day for the Dow in October. If you are a value investor, this is what your thought process must be to be successful. Please view this. It is 9 minutes long and worth every second.

Here he talks about about McDonalds (MCD), Google (GOOG), Oil (USO), Microsoft (MSFT), EMC (EMC), Citigroup (C), Target (TGT) and financials.

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Friday’s Links

Beer, Hat’s off, Steroids, CEO melt down,

– So it is beer, not guns, that cause more murders…

– Got to give it this parent, this is how you make a point.

– Who performed best after the “juiced”?

– Sallie Mae’s CEO melts down
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Marty Whitman Slams Bill Ackman

Whitman on CNBC just called Bill Ackman a “slick salesman who does not know much about insurance and certainly doesn’t know much about restructuring secure debt”…WOW

I’ll look for the video later…

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Circuit City Approves Executive Awards for Lousy Performance

I guess we finally found out where the money Circuit City (CC) saved by “letting go” its highest paid and most experienced sales people earlier in the year is going, to the folks who made the ill-fated decision.

In an SEC filing, CC said the company’s board approved “retention awards” of $1 million for executive vice presidents and $600,000 for senior vice presidents. The awards will be effective as of January 1, 2008, and vest over a three-year period. Circuit City said the awards were intended “to ensure the stability of the company’s leadership team by providing an incentive” for the officers to stay.

Included in the payouts are Bruce H. Besanko, chief financial officer; George D. Clark Jr., executive vice president for multi-channel sales; and general counsel Reginald D. Hedgebeth.

CEO Philip Schoonover will not be participating in the retention plan, but would be able to receive long-term incentive awards under a 2003 stock incentive plan. Based on both the company’s and the stocks performance, Schoonover gets nothing and in all reality will be fired before next year is out anyway.

One would think shareholders would be outraged by this. They have watched this team lose almost 75% of the company’s market cap this year as shares have fallen from $22 to $6. If we go back a another year, the losses jump to 80% from $30 a share.

I guess the questions is, why would shareholders want to retain these guys? By almost every metric, Circuit City is worse off. Since FY 2005 ended its cash position has steadily deteriorated (from $1 billion to $400 million), debt has almost tripled and market share has plummeted. They did manage to raise the dividend this year from 16 cents a share from 7 cents in 2005 but given the company’s precarious financial situation, even that decision is questionable.

Both Best Buy (BBY), Wal-Mart (WMT) and Sears Holdings (SHLD) all have reported strong electronics sales this Christmas. If Circuit City does not do the same, there ought to be a shareholder revolt.

It just seems that every time we hear from Circuit City, they leave us scratching our heads. At least we are not shareholders, they are probably pounding their heads on a table.

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Starbucks Dairy Problem

Let’s just say it before they do. Starbucks (SBUX) will not meet its earnings goal this year. Why?

Back in May, months before Starbucks actually acknowledged this, I spoke about milk prices and their effect on the company. What has happened since then?

The price of milk has increase of 23.2 percent through November. The nationwide average for a gallon of whole milk is $3.80, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. That, by the way smashes the price of everyone largest gripe, the nationwide average for a gallon of unleaded gasoline which stands at $2.99.

Now, Starbucks actually came out in late summer and admitted diary prices were hurting them. What was the average price per gallon in May? $3.38, a full 13% lower than current levels.

Starbucks responded to these increases by raising prices, a move I panned then and a move that received the expected response, a dramatic decline in store traffic.

How do they expect to reach their lofty expectations in 2008? When facing lower store traffic and steadily increasing costs, another price increase for the company is just not possible.

With shares trading at levels not seen since early 2004, it would seem investors feel the same way…

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Friday’s Upgrades and Downgrades


UPGRADES
OmniVision OVTI AmTech Research Sell » Neutral
Pier 1 Imports PIR Morgan Keegan Underperform » Mkt Perform
SMSC SMSC Needham & Co Buy » Strong Buy
Smart Modular Tech SMOD Needham & Co Hold » Buy
Park Electrochem PKE Needham & Co Hold » Buy
Petrobras Brasileiro PBR Citigroup Hold » Buy
Darden Restaurants DRI Morgan Keegan Mkt Perform » Outperform
RadioShack RSH Banc of America Sec Sell » Neutral
Nationwide NFS Banc of America Sec Sell » Neutral
CBRL Group CBRL Morgan Keegan Mkt Perform » Outperform
Dot Hill Systems HILL Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
MasterCard MA Bear Stearns Peer Perform » Outperform
Heartland Payment Systems HPY Robert W. Baird Neutral » Outperform
Wynn Resorts WYNN UBS Sell » Neutral
Buckeye Tech BKI UBS Sell » Buy
Holly HOC UBS Neutral » Buy
Hancock Holding HBHC Keefe Bruyette Mkt Perform » Outperform

DOWNGRADES
Kinder Morgan Prtnrs KMP SMH Capital Buy » Neutral
BB&T Corp BBT Fox Pitt In Line » Underperform
Sterling Banc SBIB Fox Pitt Outperform » In Line
FBR Capital Markets FBCM Jefferies & Co Buy » Hold
Altus Pharma ALTU Collins Stewart Buy » Market Perform
priceline.com PCLN Stifel Nicolaus Buy » Hold
Orbitz OWW Stifel Nicolaus Buy » Hold
Expedia EXPE Stifel Nicolaus Buy » Hold
Hess HES Citigroup Buy » Hold
VeraSun Energy VSE Friedman Billings Outperform » Mkt Perform
Atlas America ATLS Friedman Billings Outperform » Mkt Perform
Altus Pharma ALTU Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
LDK Solar LDK Piper Jaffray Neutral » Sell

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"Fast Money" for Friday


Friday’s Picks
Jeff Macke recommends getting long Disney (DIS). Open $32.33

Karen Finerman likes ValueClick (VCLK).Open $22.63

Pete Najarian prefers Microsoft (MSFT).Open $35.52

Thursday’s Results
Jeff Macke likes Disney (DIS). Open $32.26 Close $32.33 GAIN

Guy Adami prefers Sallie Mae (SLM). Open $22.89 Close $20.53 LOSS

Tim Seymour recommends Cameco (CCJ). Open $36.70 Close $38.59 GAIN

Pete Najarian says Morgan Stanley (MS) is a buy. Open $50.08 Close $51.37 GAIN

Results since 6/21/2007:

Guy Adami= 57-45 = 60%
John Najarian= 13-4 = 76%
Jeff Macke= 59-40 = 64%
Pete Najarian= 47-40 = 55%
Tim Seymore= 7-7 = 50%
Karen Finerman= 37-30 = 55%
Stacey Briere-Gilbert= 3-0 = 100
Ned Riley= 1-0 = 100%
Carter Worth= 0-1 = 0%

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Dr. Seuss on the CDO Debacle

Whitney Tilson sent this to me earlier today. It is great…

Read it here:

The author is unknown, if anyone does know who it is, let me know, they deserve credit.

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Thursday’s 52 Week Low’s


TRID Trident Microsystems Inc 5.79
TKG Telkom Sa Ltd 78.04
TIN Temple-Inland Inc 30.42
TGT
Target Corp 50.10
OMX
Officemax Inc Del 21.10
OLP One Liberty Propertie … 17.75
OFSI Omni Finl Svcs Inc 4.29
ODP Office Depot, Inc 13.39
OC Owens Corning New 20.25
MBI
MBIA Inc 20.97
MAIR
Mair Holdings Inc 4.38
M Macy’s, Inc. 26.20

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