Categories
Articles

Autozone Easily Beats Estimates: Is Lampert a Genius Again?

Does Autozone’s (AZO) earnings report today is sending shares up 15% today (up 9% for the past year). Does Sears Holdings (SHLD) Chairman’s Eddie Lampert’s near 40% stake in the company now mean he is a genius again? I can’t help but notice CNBC has not mentioned ONE TIME TODAY his stake in the company. Mistake? I think not.

Does anyone else find it odd that post after post has hit the blogsphere and the mainstream media bashing Lampert’s investments almost hourly for the past three weeks, today’s news has been met with a deafening silence?

Where are all the pundits today? Are we done piling on? If a bad 9 months means Lampert has offically “lost it” then a 16% gain in one day by the same infantile logic must mean he is an uber-investor once again, no?

This is the problem with short term thinking. I makes you stupid. Nobody is “what they did today”, there are what they have done up until this point. Investors like Bill Miller, Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK.A) Warren Buffett and Lampert, who have produce decades of market beating return just do not lose it. Investing is not like baseball where a power pitcher turns a certain age and the skills just go. If anything, age and the knowledge that come with it help investors.

CNBC is really disappointing me today. It is one thing to bash an investor and even another to use “questionable” comparisons to make your point, but it is ethically vapid to then not be “fair and balanced” (wrong network?) when events turn.

It just comes down to a credibility issue, they are losing it.

 Subscribe in a reader

Categories
Articles

Tuesday’s Links

Blogging, Attorney’s, Ebay and Subprime, Toy Safety

– Howard Lizdon has the best defense of blogging I have seen to date.

– These folks are going to ride the lead paint wagon to ruin.

– Ebay may find itself in a whole heap of trouble soon enough.

– A great piece on the history of toy safety.

 Subscribe in a reader

Categories
Articles

Blockbuster Almost Finished

Blockbuster (BBI) is in the midst of a standing eight count in its fight against NetFlix (NFLX)

The site Compete.com has a chart that shows what I am talking about.

Now, Blockbuster earlier in the year was gunning for NetFlix in the online game. Less than a month ago, I noted new CEO Jim Keyes was “still considering ways to build up a digital distribution channel for films. Proposals include merging its Blockbuster.com Internet site for ordering films by mail with its Movielink download service, and partnering with telecom and cable companies.”

Still considering? What is he waiting for? As far back as August they finally got the ball rolling here and yet despite the chart above, they are still dragging their heals and actually talking about “remodeling the stores” in some bizarre Apple (APPL) induced concept. Note to Keyes: It works for Apple because they are, well, Apple, people cannot get enough of their products. Your Blockbuster, when folks think of you they think, “are they still around?”.

The oddest thing? Back in July when former CEO John Antioco was fired Keyes said “as the technology continues to evolve it will be my job to have Blockbuster front and center as a player in those areas of technology”.

Okay… any day now. In case you did not realize, you are rapidly becoming irrelevant.

Back in July I said “If nothing else, he cannot screw things up there any more than they are now. For under $5 a share, it just might be worth taking a gander. I want to see what Keyes will do, I want to see more that 290 stores closed this year. Double it and I become a buyer.”

I would like to correct that now. Apparently Keyes can and has outdone his predecessor. Not with a 10 foot pole would I touch this one now. With shares down 40% since then, I guess most folks feel the same way.

Subscribe in a reader

Categories
Articles

Retail Website Traffic for Thanksgiving Week

Here are the retail states for the wek ending 11/24 (including “Black Friday”)

1. www.walmart.com (WMT)= 10.9%
2. www.target.com (TGT)= 5.64%
3. www.bestbuy.com (BBY)= 5.62%
4. www.circuitcity.com (CC)= 4.53%
5. www.sears.com (SHLD)= 2.85%
6. www.toysrus.com (private)= 2.66%
7. www.jcpenney.com (JCP) = 2.35%
8. www.kmart.com (SHLD)= 1.89%

Walmart.com continues to set the pace at almost twice its closest competitor and even outdrawing amazon.com (AMZN) for the big week. An interesting note, the combined Sears and Kmart traffic, both owned by Sears Holdings places them in 4th place with more than double the traffic of JC Penny and just behind Best Buy.

Data from hitwise.com

Subscribe in a reader

Categories
Articles

"Fast Money" for Tuesday


Tuesday’s Picks

Jeff Macke likes THQ Inc. (THQI) on Monday’s Activision buyout. Open $24.90

Guy Adami recommends betting against the Dow by buying Short Dow30 ProShares (DOG).Open $59.54

Karen Finerman prefers Kohl’s (KSS).Open $49.22

Pete Najarian likes U.S. Bancorp (USB) Open $32.93

Monday’s Results
Tim Seymour recommends selling Banco Itau Holding Financeira S.A. (ITU). Open $27.54 Close $27.39 LOSS

Guy Adami says short the Dow with Shrt Dow30 Proshares (DOG). Open $59.13 Close $59.54 GAIN

Karen Finerman prefers Limited Brands (LTD). Open $20.08 Close $19.94 LOSS

Guy Adami= 48-42 = 54%
John Najarian= 13-4 = 76%
Jeff Macke= 54-35 = 60%
Pete Najarian= 37-37 = 50%
Tim Seymore= 6-7 = 57%
Karen Finerman= 30-24 = 54%
Stacey Briere-Gilbert= 3-0 = 100
Ned Riley= 1-0 = 100%
Carter Worth= 0-1 = 0%

 Subscribe in a reader

Categories
Articles

Merry Chrsitmas Altria Shareholders

Altria’s (MO) Phillip Morris USA received $1.2 billion in funds held in an escrow account under the bond stipulation in the Engle smoking and health class action in Florida today.

PM USA also said that it will immediately seek the discharge of a $100 million appeal bond in the same case.

$1.2 billion will repurchase a whole bunch of shares after the PMI spin is complete.

 Subscribe in a reader

Categories
Articles

Could It Be? The Hammer at Citi?

CNBC’s Maria Bartiromo dropped an bomb (at least for me) today in an interview with Hank Paulson.

Bartiromo said “everybody has the highest regard for you within government when it comes to economics, now, the latest talk is that, they want you at Citigroup (C), have you been approached about the CEO position?”

I actually danced when I heard that…

You may remember a month ago I almost begged the powers that be a Citi to get the former Co-President of Goldman Sachs (GS) in the door to run the bank. I had all but given up on it until today.

Paulson’s response?
The usual denial talk about “running full speed at treasury” until the end of Bush’s term. What was odd was that he did not deny being approached or being interested and he answered the question with an odd smile on his face almost as if he was saying to himself, “think she’ll buy this?”

Paulson at Citi would be a dream for shareholders. If anyone could give that institution the kick in the but it needs, it is him…

 Subscribe in a reader

Categories
Articles

Monday’s 52 Week Low’s


ZQK Quiksilver Inc 10.18
WSO Watsco, Inc 35.99
WFBC Willow Financial Banc … 9.01
WAG Walgreen Co. 36.49
VOL Volt Information Scie … 12.37
VM Virgin Mobile Usa Inc 6.78
UXG US Gold Corporation 3.12
MW Mens Wearhouse Inc 32.42
MSW Mission West Pptys Inc 9.80
MRT Mortons Restaurant Gr … 11.06
JSDA Jones Soda Co 6.31
JBL Jabil Circuit Inc 16.44
BNHN Benihana Inc 13.55
BLG Building Matls Hldg Corp 5.60
BJRI BJ’s Restaurants, Inc. 17.44
BIG Big Lots Inc 17.77
BBI Blockbuster Inc 3.40

 Subscribe in a reader

Categories
Articles

Monday’s Links

Cell Phones, Bloggystyle, Race Hypocrisy, Krugman

– It though this number would actually be higher.

– Thanks for the mention….

– This is just great…..Maybe it is not what is said but who says it that matters?

– For the 1,242,876,000,000 time since Bush took office, Paul Krugman calls for the end of civilization as we know it.

Subscribe in a reader

Categories
Articles

Vikrim Citi’s New CEO?

Not sure if this is the best idea for Citigroup (C)….

The NY Times reported Sunday that Citi insider Vikrim Pandit is the lead candidate for the CEO job vacated by Chuck Prince.

According to The Times “no final decision had been made and that the four-member search committee, led by Richard D. Parsons, was reviewing other candidates.

The board is hoping that a chief executive can be named within the next week, a person briefed on the situation said. The search has been difficult and no clear choice has emerged, the person said, adding that support on the search committee seemed to be building for Mr. Pandit.”

Pandit’s ascension, if it happens, will not go smoothly. Several people inside Citi are vying for the job and given Pandit’s age, 54 and tenure at Citi, 7 months, his getting the job would cause an exodus of candidates who would not see a vacancy at the Citi CEO office for decades. Assuming Pandit did not fail.

What to do then? Bring in an outsider. Why? Any insider that is given the spot will not be greeted by investors with glee because it will be assumed not much will change at the bank. Who then? In the past I have wished for former Goldman Sachs (GS) Co-President Hank Paulson but it would appear the chances of that are, well, nothing. My second choice would be Richard M. Kovacevich. the former Wells Fargo (WFC) chief executive, and current chairman. At 64 and an alumnus of Citicorp’s consumer banking group Kovacevich would accomplish several very important things.

He would bring a impeccable banking track record to Citigroup that would, unlike any other candidate currently being considered, give investors a sense that Citi’s current problems would be fixed. At 62, Kovacevich would also not take the job long term. This would stop an exodus of talent currently at Citi as they would know the CEO job would be up for grabs again in a few years. Finally, his taking the post would finally enable Robert Rubin to do what he wants to do, get back into politics.

Nothing against Vikrim and me may eventually get the job and do it wonderfully. But, another insider being promoted at Citi, an institution investors have been begging for change at will not boost the stock. Pandit will be greeting with a heavy dose of skepticism. For one, he will have to prove his ability unlike Kovacevich who has proven he can do the job, and secondly, if Pandit is named, investors will wonder why it took so long to name him.

The question will be, was he the first pick, the last one or the only one who said yes?

 Subscribe in a reader

Categories
Articles

Sprint: One Bad Decision After Another.

What is it going to take for these guys to get it right?

Sprint (S) rejected an offer by South Korea’s SK Telecom and private-equity firm Providence Equity Partners to invest $5 billion in the company and to install NexTel’s former Chairman, Tim Donahue, as chief executive officer.

Mr. Donahue’s group proposed a deal in a Nov. 10 letter to Sprint’s board. The board didn’t grant Mr. Donahue or the investors a meeting before declining the offer, these people said. It makes sense, with shares down 36% since early June and subscribers fleeing faster than the Saigon evacuation after Vietnam, why even consider an alternative or hear what they have to say?

Let’s not forget that Mr. Donahue, who was CEO of Nextel negotiated its sale to Sprint in 2004 for $35 billion and became chairman of the combined company after the merger closed in 2005. He stepped down late last in 2006. The proposal said he would return as CEO and would bring in a full slate of executives to handle marketing and operations. Sprint’s fortunes have decline precipitously since his departure.

In short, this guy knows what he is doing. He took NexTel from a bit player to a major force. Maybe current management longs for those good ‘ole days?

Some Sprint directors say Sprint bought a wireless carrier with a “creaky network that needed major upgrades and a user base susceptible to being lured by competitors.” If that is so, why was NexTel adding subscribers by the bucket full at the time of the merger and if the network issues are true, why pay $35 billion for it? NexTel users became “susceptible top being lured” only after being treated like an inconvenience by Sprint customer service reps.

The Donahue group said in the letter to the board that it would invest $5 billion or “potentially substantially more” in the form of securities convertible into equity after some period of time at a stock price 20% higher than Sprint’s current price as well as a noncash dividend of 3% to 4% and said they were prepared to sign a definitive agreement with Sprint within 10 days. In short, they were putting their money where their mouth was…..

Activist investor Ralph Whitworth, who before former CEO Gary Forsee quit had threatened a proxy fight for board seats unless Sprint directors immediately dealt with the company’s leadership issue, praised the Sprint board. “I don’t think the CEO job ought to be up for auction,” said Mr. Whitworth.

Mr. Whitworth’s Relational Investors LLC owns just under 2% of Sprint’s shares. “It’s bad business to link minority investments with CEO selection decisions,” he continued. “If I had been a board member, it would have been dead on arrival. The board did the right thing.”

HYPOCRISY!! So, I guess it is ok to link boards seats to a minority investment Ralph? Am I the only one who caught that? Now, we should listen to Mr. Whitworth, after all he is the one who lead the charge at Home Depot (HD) to get rid of then CEO Nardelli, sell supply and take on massive debt to fund an ill-conceived share buyback. How did that work out Ralph?

I fell bad for Sprint shareholders, it will be a long hard slog with these guys at the helm.

The only was this makes any sense is if they are going to sell to Google (GOOG) soon which given the news Google is officially bidding for wireless spectrum, is less likely every day.

Subscribe in a reader

Categories
Articles

November’s Most Read Posts

1- Berkshire’s Warren Buffett on Fox Business News

2- Blockbuster Refuses to Recognize the Reality of Their Business

3- Sears Holdings: It About Brands, Not Stores

4- Berkshire Hathaway vs Sears Holdings: The Early Years

5- Sears Holdings Earnings Release and Ackman Speech: Hmmm..

 Subscribe in a reader

Categories
Articles

November Thank -You’s

A special “Thank You” to the top traffic generators for the month of November to ValuePlays (ranked in order)

1- Google Finance

2- Stockpicker

3- Seeking Alpha

4- Value Investing News

5- Wall St. Journal Online

6- TheStreet.com

7- Minyanville

8- The Kirk Report

 Subscribe in a reader

Categories
Articles

This Week’s Insider Buys


Limited Brands Inc –LTD= $7,586,526
Enteromedics Inc –ETRM= $5,000,000
El Paso Pipeline Partners L P –EPB= $4,504,000
Mcmoran Exploration Co –MMR= $2,733,887
Private Media Group Inc – PRVT= $2,194,250
Inland Real Estate Corp –IRC= $1,858,424
Unitrin Inc –UTR= $1,456,630
Cardinal Health Inc – CAH= $1,149,970
Fannie Mae – FNM = $1,105,687
Weingarten Realty Investors –WRI = $1,011,680
Blackrock Inc New – BLK= $1,003,462

 Subscribe in a reader

Categories
Articles

This Week’s Dividend Hikes


Lincoln Electric Hldgs A-LEC= 13.6%
SL Green Realty Corp-SLG= 12.5%
Disney-DIS= 12.9%
Raymond James Financial-RJF = 10%
McCormick & Co-MKC= 10.0%

 Subscribe in a reader