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"Fast Money" for Thursday

Here are Thursday’s picks

No “first trades” for today…

Wednesday’s Results

Jeff Macke recommended getting long Target (TGT). Open $62.66 Close $65.21 Gain $2.55

Pete Najarian said jump on Juniper (JNPR). Open $33.66 Close $34.39 Gain $.73

Guy Adami preferred Micron (MU).Open $11.59 Close $12.07 Gain $.48

Eric Bolling liked Google (GOOG) Open $516.02 Close $535.78 Gain $19.24

Since my tracking began on 6/21 (1-1 means one up pick and one down pick and no results from my vacation week)

Adami= 12-10 Gain $24.16
Bolling= 9-9 Loss $15.08
John Najarian= 13-3 Gain $15.54
Macke= 19-12 Gain $7.08
Pete Najarian= 7-6 Gain $17.71
Seymore= 2-1 Gain $1.09
Finerman= 2-2 Gain $.88
Gilbert= 1-0 Gain $.29

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Upgrades / Downgrades

Here are the late Wednesday and early Thursday calls.

UPGRADES

Mattel MAT Piper Jaffray Market Perform » Outperform
Interdigital Comm IDCC Piper Jaffray Underperform » Market Perform
LTX Corp LTXX Citigroup Hold » Buy
Xenoport XNPT Citigroup Hold » Buy
NBTY Inc NTY JP Morgan Underweight » Neutral
Methode Electronics METH Robert W. Baird Underperform » Neutral $13
Knology KNOL Robert W. Baird Neutral » Outperform
Centene CNC Jefferies & Co Underperform » Hold
1-800-FLOWERS FLWS JMP Securities Mkt Perform » Mkt Outperform
Watson Wyatt WW Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
Alcoa AA Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
Tenet Healthcare THC Stifel Nicolaus Sell » Hold
PG&E PCG RBC Capital Mkts Sector Perform » Outperform
Best Buy BBY Pali Research Neutral » Buy
AuthenTec AUTH Morgan Keegan Mkt Perform » Outperform
Cross Country CCRN BMO Capital Markets Market Perform » Outperform
Harris HRS Oppenheimer Neutral » Buy
Public Service PEG Matrix Research Hold » Buy
OM Group OMG Matrix Research Strong Sell » Strong Buy
Getty Images GYI Kaufman Bros Sell » Hold
Nuance Communications NUAN Needham & Co Hold » Buy
Golden Star Resources GSS UBS Neutral » Buy
W&T Offshore WTI Calyon Securities Neutral » Add
Noven Pharma NOVN Soleil Sell » Hold

DOWNGRADES

Cablevision CVC Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Chesapeake Energy CHK Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Green Mtn Coffee GMCR Piper Jaffray Outperform » Market Perform
Casual Male CMRG JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Novo-Nordisk A/S NVO Lehman Brothers Overweight » Equal-weight
Kenexa KNXA JMP Securities Mkt Outperform » Mkt Perform
The Knot KNOT Merriman Curhan Ford Buy » Neutral
Blue Nile NILE RBC Capital Mkts Outperform » Sector Perform
Unica UNCA Ferris Baker Watts Neutral » Sell
NMT Medical NMTI Needham & Co Buy » Hold
Allscripts MDRX Needham & Co Buy » Hold
Heelys HLYS Brean Murray Buy » Hold
Echelon ELON Nollenberger Capital Buy » Neutral
Heelys HLYS Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
AEGON N.V. AEG Bear Stearns Outperform » Peer Perform
CBRE Realty Finance CBF Citigroup Buy » Hold

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Today’s 52 Week Lows

Here are companies that hit a yearly bottom today. No homebuilders and no financials as they all rallied big time again.

XJT Expressjet Holdings Inc
SSP The E.W. Scripps Company
SCVL Shoe Carnival Inc
RURL Rural/Metro Corp
RNWK RealNetworks Inc
NUVO Nuvelo Inc
NOOF New Frontier Media Inc
MYL Mylan Laboratories Inc
MTEX Mannatech Inc
IKN Ikon Office Solutions Inc
HRL Hormel Foods Corporation
HLYS Heelys Inc
ELNK Earthlink Inc
ADSX Applied Digital Solutions
ACTL Actel Corp

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Sprint’s Downward Spiral Continues

Maybe Sprint (S) will recognize soon that those “pain in the ass” people who keep calling them are called customers and the more of them they have, the better their financial performance will be?

Let do the basics first, Sprint Nextel reported its net income nose-dived 95% as its balance sheet was banged up by costs associated with the launch of its WiMax network. For the quarter ended June 30, it said it earned $19 million, or 1 cent per share, versus $370 million, or 10 cents per share, for a similar period a year ago. In the quarter, Sprint added nearly 400,000 subscribers and ended the period with a total subscriber base of 54 million, a 5% increase from a year ago. You know it has been really bad when shown these numbers Stanford Group Co.’s Michael Nelson said “At least they managed to retain customers.”

But, Sprint’s monthly subscriber growth trailed the performance at AT&T (T) and Verizon (VZE). AT&T added more than 900,000 customers who committed to monthly contracts, while Verizon added 1.5 million.

In short, when the best you can say is “at least we did not lose any more customers”, that does not bode well for shareholders down the road. Sprint is falling farther behind what is rapidly becoming a two horse race with Verizon and AT&T slugging it out for the crown. The shame of it really is that Sprint’s problem and current it’s state are totally of their own doing.

I really loved being a Nextel customer, they were different, Sprint, not so much.

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Note To Lampert: Let People Know About Land’s End

Land’s End has great, stylish products at great prices. Why don’t more people know they can go to their local Sears (SHLD) to buy them?

At first I thought they just were not paying attention (or reading my blog) but then I began to look around. Not a single Sears commercial I have seen tells us Land End merchandise is available at stores. When I get my flyer in the newspaper each week, there isn’t anything special telling me that I can buy Lands End clothing at Sears. When I get my Land’s End catalog in the mail, nothing tells me to go to my local Sears in the Solomon Pond Mall to buy Land end clothing. Why the secret?

Land’s End has fantastic stuff and the stores that have it according the the salespeople I spoke to yesterday have a huge advantage over those that do not. If you sit in a Sears that sells Land’s End, there is a constant stream of traffic to the areas of the store that have the Land’s End merchandise. This is probably the reason Lampert announced he plans to double the locations that offer the products this year. But, Eddie, tell people about it!!

I do not want the local Sears that sells Land End clothing to be the best kept shopping secret in the area. I want it to be mobbed.

Some Ideas

– Create a Land’s End commercial and run it in those areas that sell it in the stores with the big tag line “Available at Sears”

– Run Land’s End flyers in Sunday papers that prominently display the Sears logo

– Ever hear of a billboard? They have been around so long because they work…

– Forget Radio

Telling people about Land’s End will drive traffic to your stores and they will by other merchandise there. If nothing else, it will create the “relevance in the shopper’s mind” Lewis spoke of after the latest earnings were released.

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McDonald’s Crushes Estimates

I wonder if executives at Starbucks (SBUX) feel like a deer in the headlights of the freight train that is McDonalds (MCD).

McDonald’s announced today that global comparable sales rose 6.5% in July, well ahead of the 4% estimates. Systemwide sales for all McDonald’s restaurants (this number includes franchises) worldwide increased 11.7% for the month.

McDonald’s Chief Executive Officer Jim Skinner said, “We continue to connect with customers through our menu variety and value, innovative marketing and contemporary restaurants. These combined initiatives have powered our ongoing momentum and delivered our best sustained sales performance in more than 25 years.”

U.S. comparable sales rose 4.3% in July due to the enduring appeal of McDonald’s popular breakfast menu (COFFEE), new food offerings, value and convenient late night hours.

Comparable sales were up 9.9% in Asia/Pacific, Middle East and Africa, driven by ongoing sales strength in Japan, Australia and China. Breakfast (COFFEE) and extended hours contributed to the segment’s July performance.

Year to date system wide sales for McDonald’s are up 11%. No excuses about rising coffee and milk prices, no new recording labels or free t-shirt giveaways, just performance quarter after quarter by focusing on what they do best..

Novel idea…

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Upgrades / Downgrades

Here are the late Tuesday and early Wednesday calls.
>

UPGRADES

Warner Music Group WMG Citigroup Sell » Buy
priceline.com PCLN Susquehanna Financial Neutral » Positive
Natural Resource NRP Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
True Religion TRLG Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
Computer Sciences CSC Jefferies & Co Underperform » Hold
Nuance Communications NUAN Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
Parkway Prop PKY Robert W. Baird Neutral » Outperform
Equity Inns ENN Robert W. Baird Neutral » Outperform
F5 Networks FFIV CE Unterberg Towbin Market Perform » Buy
TETRA Tech TTI CapitalOne southcoast Hold » Buy
Pactiv Corp PTV KeyBanc Capital Mkts / McDonald Hold » Buy
Silgan Holdings SLGN KeyBanc Capital Mkts / McDonald Buy » Aggressive Buy
Greif Brothers GEF KeyBanc Capital Mkts / McDonald Buy » Aggressive Buy
Gap Inc GPS CL King Underperform » Neutral
TeleTech TTEC Janco Partners Accumulate » Buy
Brinker EAT Sanders Morris Harris Neutral » Buy
Halliburton HAL Calyon Securities Add » Buy
Baker Hughes BHI Calyon Securities Neutral » Add
JA Solar JASO Needham & Co Hold » Buy
AC Moore ACMR BB&T Capital Mkts Hold » Buy
Blackbaud BLKB Jefferies & Co Hold » Buy
Martha Stewart MSO Bear Stearns Peer Perform » Outperform

DOWNGRADES

Dick’s Sporting Goods DKS Citigroup Buy » Hold
Heelys HLYS JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Alexion Pharm ALXN Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
Heelys HLYS CIBC Wrld Mkts Sector Outperform » Sector Perform
MetroPCS PCS Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Leap Wireless LEAP Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Heelys HLYS Robert W. Baird Outperform » Neutral
AMN Healthcare Services AHS CL King Strong Buy » Neutral
Mobile Mini MINI Robert W. Baird Outperform » Neutral
F5 Networks FFIV Wedbush Morgan Buy » Hold
Myers Industries MYE KeyBanc Capital Mkts / McDonald Buy » Hold
Ball Corp BLL KeyBanc Capital Mkts / McDonald Aggressive Buy » Buy
U-Store-It YSI Wachovia Mkt Perform » Underperform
NGP Capital Resources NGPC Ferris Baker Watts Buy » Neutral
Luminent Mortgage Capital LUM UBS Neutral » Sell

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"Fast Money" for Wednesday

Here are Tuesday’s results and Wednesday’s picks.

WEDNESDAY’S PICKS

Jeff Macke recommended getting long Target (TGT). Open $62.66

Pete Najarian said jump on Juniper (JNPR). Open $33.66

Guy Adami preferred Micron (MU).Open $11.59

Eric Bolling liked Google (GOOG) Open $516.02

TUESDAY’S RESULTS

Jeff Macke recommended selling Goldman Sachs (GS). Open $187.70 Close $191.25 Loss $3.45

Guy Adami preferred Juniper (JNPR). Open $33.46 Close $33.66 Gain $.20

Tim Seymour liked iShares MSCI Brazil Index (EWZ). $61.10 Close $62.18 Gain $1.08

Eric Bolling did not have a stock pick.

Since my tracking began on 6/21 (1-1 means one up pick and one down pick and no results from my vacation week)

Adami= 11-10 Gain $23.68
Bolling= 8-9 Loss $4.16
John Najarian= 13-3 Gain $15.54
Macke= 18-12 Gain $4.53
Pete Najarian= 6-6 Gain $16.98
Seymore= 2-1 Gain $1.09
Finerman= 2-2 Gain $.88
Gilbert= 1-0 Gain $.29

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Bernanke Nails It.

“The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to keep its target for the federal funds rate at 5-1/4 percent.” announced the Fed today.

They continued “Economic growth was moderate during the first half of the year. Financial markets have been volatile in recent weeks, credit conditions have become tighter for some households and businesses, and the housing correction is ongoing. Nevertheless, the economy seems likely to continue to expand at a moderate pace over coming quarters, supported by solid growth in employment and incomes and a robust global economy.”

“Readings on core inflation have improved modestly in recent months. However, a sustained moderation in inflation pressures has yet to be convincingly demonstrated. Moreover, the high level of resource utilization has the potential to sustain those pressures.”

Finally, “Although the downside risks to growth have increased somewhat, the Committee’s predominant policy concern remains the risk that inflation will fail to moderate as expected. Future policy adjustments will depend on the outlook for both inflation and economic growth, as implied by incoming information.”

For those interested in how this statement is similar to everything they have said up until this point, go here

Inflation, inflation and inflation. Until it’s ebbs, rates will not drop. Big Ben has been saying this since he took office repeatedly and hopefully the street gets it soon so we do not have all the speculation before each meeting. It will also be good for stocks as things will level out once they come to the reality that Bernanke is telling them what to expect from the Fed. It seems they may be beginning to get it as today the DOW, S&P and Nasdaq were essentially unchanged.

The Fed will not bail out lenders that made dumb loans and now are in trouble. Bernanke is going to let the market work (as he should) and it is already taking care of things. Bad credit is harder to get, and hopefully credit standards return to what they should be. Both of these are good things long term.

Even if growth slows, that is ok as long as inflation stays contained. Given the choice between slowing growth and high inflation, high inflation should always be fought because it always is a economy killer.

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52 Week Low List

Here are today’s cellar dwellers.. no homebuilders or financials today as they all rallied big time

WON Westwood One Inc
WMG Warner Music Group Corp
TVE Tennessee Valley Auth
TUTR Plato Learning Inc
TGEN Targeted Genetics Corp
TARR Tarragon Corp
SWX Southwest Gas Corporation
NAII Natural Alternatives
NABI Nabi Biopharmaceuticals
MYL Mylan Laboratories Inc
IKN Ikon Office Solutions Inc
DF Dean Foods Co New
DDS Dillard Department St
CC Circuit City Stores
BAMM Books-A-Million Inc

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EIA: Home Heating Oil Prices To Rise

Just a quick not to those who use oil to heat their homes. If you can lock in your rate now, it will probably be a good idea to do it.

The EIA today predicted that heating oil will rise at least 37 cents a gallon to a price in excess of $2.85 a gallon this winter. This price, it should be noted does not take into account the possible effects of a hurricane(s), more middle east unrest (could it happen?) or additional refinery problems that have been so prevalent this spring and early summer. It would seem that the forecast is a “as long as things stay the way they are now” scenario.

This does not mean the forecast is wrong or irrelevant. If anything, knowing the methodology they use to predict the prices and what they base them on make it very useful. We now know that any combination of the above events OR extremely cold winter will most likely drive heating oil prices over $3 a gallon.

So, rather than pay Exxon (XOM), Chevron (CVX) or BP(BP) additional funds this winter, it is recommended that prices get locked in. If only I could do the same thing with the natural gas I heat my home with.

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Fed Speculating Time Again

Tis’ the season and there is a ton of speculation out there about what the Fed will say and or do today. Sooner or later folks are going to realize that Greenspan no longer Chairs the Fed. Bernanke does not want the Fed to be the focus and has no desire to lower rates in response to imbecilic lending.

There is no “credit shortage” out there. There is a “stupid credit shortage” though and that is actually healthy. Sally and Paul who want to have $400,000 loaned to them with no money down, no credit check and pay interest only for two years probably will begin to find this more difficult if not impossible and you know what, this also is good. Bernanke will not finance stupidity by flushing the market with funds to bail these folks out.

What will he do? The same thing he has done since taking office, nothing. He is watching inflation and until that is under wraps, rates will stay where they are, at historically low levels. The economy is growing at a very healthy and retrained rate, unemployment is virtually non-existent, corporate profits are growing at near double digit rates and corporations are so flush with cash they are buying back their own shares at a pace never seen before. So, just because the DOW and S&P drop 4% we should just abandon the plan and lower rates to re-energize the fools who got themselves in a hole in the first place? No way..

Here is proof of why emotion should not rule the Fed. Watch Jim Cramer, in a WWF’s Vince McMahon inspired act have a Fed meltdown two weeks after saying sub-prime is “completely meaningless, it has no meaning whatsoever”. Laughable…..

Sam Zell was on CNBC last week and he was talking about housing. He said simply that there was no “meltdown” and that housing starts were slowing to historically normal levels. The last three years were an aberration and at 1.4 to 1.6 million starts, we have settled into a “normal” range. Since when did normal require a rate cut?

I think Greenspan enjoyed the market jolting effects of his incoherent ramblings when at the Fed. This is proven by his inexplicable clarity since he left office as exemplified by his call of a “1/3 chance of US recession in 2007”. He misses the rush of the market reacting to him. Bernanke has no such desire and if anything, seems to wish the Fed to fade to an after thought when it comes to the markets. If the Fed becomes real predictable, the effects of their actions is minimized. Once Wall St. figures out that rates will not come down until inflation is well under wraps, we can end this speculation every month or two. We can talk about a rate cut when we see proof that inflation is waning.

If you want to know when to panic it is easy, the day Bernanke surprises us with a rate cut, things are far worse than we think.

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Upgrades / Downgrades

Here are the late Monday and early Tuesday calls

UPGRADES

Cooper Tire CTB BB&T Capital Mkts Hold » Buy
Silicon Image SIMG Jefferies & Co Underperform » Hold
Alliant Energy LNT Robert W. Baird Neutral » Outperform
Advanced Semi ASX Citigroup Hold » Buy
Burger King BKC Citigroup Hold » Buy
Pepsi Bottling PBG Banc of America Sec Neutral » Buy
Buffalo Wild Wings BWLD Merriman Curhan Ford Neutral » Buy
Electronic Arts ERTS Davenport Reduce/Sell » Neutral
ACCO Brands ABD Barrington Research Mkt Perform » Outperform
Fuel-Tech FTEK Roth Capital Hold » Buy
Marvel Enterprises MVL Janco Partners Mkt Perform » Accumulate
Walter Inds WLT Davenport Buy » Strong Buy
Fiserv FISV DA Davidson Neutral » Buy
Captaris CAPA B. Riley & Co Neutral » Buy
Comerica CMA AG Edwards Hold » Buy
National Cinemedia NCMI Janco Partners Mkt Perform » Accumulate
Tesco TESO CapitalOne southcoast Hold » Buy
TheStreet.com TSCM Needham & Co Buy » Strong Buy

DOWNGRADES

Luminent Mortgage Capital LUM Keefe Bruyette Outperform » Mkt Perform
Itron ITRI JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Luminent Mortgage Capital LUM JMP Securities Mkt Outperform » Mkt Underperform
j2 Global JCOM Jefferies & Co Buy » Hold
Thornburg Mortg TMA Deutsche Securities Hold » Sell
Opteum OPX Deutsche Securities Buy » Hold
F5 Networks FFIV Ferris Baker Watts Buy » Neutral
CheckFree CKFR DA Davidson Buy » Neutral
XTO Energy XTO Oppenheimer Buy » Neutral
Exxon Mobil XOM Oppenheimer Buy » Neutral
Valero Energy VLO Oppenheimer Buy » Neutral
Tesoro Petroleum TSO Oppenheimer Buy » Neutral
Sunoco SUN Oppenheimer Buy » Neutral
Pioneer Natural PXD Oppenheimer Buy » Neutral
Occidental Petro OXY Oppenheimer Buy » Neutral
Noble Energy NBL Oppenheimer Buy » Neutral
Murphy Oil MUR Oppenheimer Buy » Neutral
Marathon Oil MRO Oppenheimer Buy » Neutral
Hess HES Oppenheimer Buy » Neutral
Frontier Oil FTO Oppenheimer Buy » Neutral
EOG Resources EOG Oppenheimer Buy » Neutral
Devon Energy DVN Oppenheimer Buy » Neutral
Chevron CVX Oppenheimer Buy » Neutral
Comstock CRK Oppenheimer Buy » Neutral
ConocoPhillips COP Oppenheimer Buy » Neutral
Cabot Oil & Gas COG Oppenheimer Buy » Neutra

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Is Home Depot’s Buyback At Risk?

Home Depot (HD) had it’s credit rating downgraded last month because of it’s plans to tap the credit markets to accomplish it’s $15 billion share repurchase plan. With the recent credit market tightening out there, will that buyback or a substantial part of it be put on the shelf?

When they announced the ambitious plan, Home Depot said they would accomplish it “as soon as practicable”. Which means, well, nothing. They have announced a tender offer for shares but it remains to be seen how many people actually tender those share to the company. Moody’s (MCO)did say yesterday that they may downgrade Home Depot debt even further depending on how expensive corporate lending becomes. Another debt downgrade will have the effect of making borrowing even more expensive for Home Depot.

In July, there was only $29 billion in corporate bonds issued vs $128 billion in June. The reason? Tightening credit markets have sharply driven up the cost of issuing that debt. Now, the cost still is below historic levels but that is of little consequence when you announce plans based on yesterday’s levels. How has this debt figured into stock buybacks? Last year $602 billion in shares were repurchased and corporations issued a record $454 billion in cheap new debt to make those purchases. Just last month Expedia (EXPE) cut a previously announced buyback by over 20% saying “lack of available financing, on terms satisfactory to the company”. Translation: It was too expensive

It bears close watching whether or another large debt supported buyback at Proctor & Gamble (PG) of $24 billion will be slowed to a crawl as the cast of it also increases.

Now, not all buybacks out there are being debt financed but it is safe to say that when a billion dollar company is buying back 20% of it’s shares, a large amount of now more expensive debt is involved. Do not take those buyback plans into your thinking when deciding to purchase shares, there is a very good chance the buyback will not be accomplished now.

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"Fast Money" for Tuesday

TUESDAY’S PICKS

Jeff Macke recommended selling Goldman Sachs (GS). Open $187.79

Guy Adami preferred Juniper (JNPR). Open $33.46

Tim Seymour liked iShares MSCI Brazil Index (EWZ). $61.10

Eric Bolling did not have a stock pick.

Monday’s Results

Karen Finerman liked Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) Open $60.34 Close $60.54 Gain $.20

Guy Adami preferred Tiffany & Co. (TIF) Open $48.52 Close $45.82 Loss $2.70

Jon Najarian revealed he made a bet that Fed Chief Bernanke makes a surprise rate cut.

Jeff Macke said get long the Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF). Open $32.06 Close $33.70 Gain $1.64

Since my tracking began on 6/21 (1-1 means one up pick and one down pick and no results from my vacation week)

Adami= 10-10 Gain $23.48
Bolling= 8-9 Loss $4.16
John Najarian= 13-3 Gain $15.54
Macke= 18-11 Gain $7.98
Pete Najarian= 6-6 Gain $16.98
Seymore= 1-1 Gain $.01
Finerman= 2-2 Gain $.88
Gilbert= 1-0 Gain $.29