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Baupost Group Q3 Letter

A Seth Klarman classic…

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Seth Klarman: Bailout "Makes Us Sick"

There are a handful of investors that ought to be listened to whenever they speak. Seth Klarman from Baupost Group is one of them.
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In a recent article Klarman said:


Time for some sanity. Just like today we read about people who made billion shorting housing in 2006 -2007, in a couple years we will read the same of those who started buying in today’s market.


FULL ARTICLE


Disclosure (“none” means no position):None
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Seth Klarman Files 13D in RHI Entertainment

I thought the same thing…..who the hell is RHI Entertainment?

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Klarman’s Bauposat Group filed a 13D sayigng is now has 3.4million of 25% of the shares in the company.

RHI Entertainment, Inc. develops, produces and distributes new made-for-television movies, mini-series and other television programming worldwide. The Company also selectively produces new episodic series programming for television. In addition to its development, production and distribution of new content, RHI Payment systems Ltd owns a library of existing long-form television content, which it licenses primarily to broadcast and cable networks worldwide.RHI owns rights to approximately 1,000 titles, or over 3,500 broadcast hours, of long-form television programming, the majority of which has been developed and produced by it. The Company’s customers include a variety of domestic broadcast and cable networks, such as ABC, CBS, the Hallmark Channel, Lifetime, NBC, SCI-FI Network, Spike TV and USA Network, as well as international broadcasters, including Antena-3, M6, PROSIEBEN-SAT1, TF1, Seven Network and Sky.

FULL FILING


Disclosure (“none” means no position):none
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Bruce Berkowitz is Buying

Like Seth Klarman from a previous post, Fairholme’s (FAIRX) Bruce Berkowitz is using the market weakness to add shares.

Berkowitz added over 7 million share of AmeriCredit (ACF) brining his total to over 21 million shares. From the filing:

21,049,200 shares of Americredit Corp. are owned, in the aggregate, by various
investment vehicles managed by Fairholme Capital Management, L.L.C. (“FCM”)of
which 15,588,200 shares are owned by Fairholme Funds, Inc. Because Mr.
Berkowitz, in his capacity as the Managing Member of FCM or as President of
Fairholme Funds, Inc., has voting or dispositive power over all shares
beneficially owned by FCM, he is deemed to have beneficial ownership of all such
shares so reported herein.

While the advisory relationship causes attribution to Bruce Berkowitz, Fairholme
Funds, Inc. or FCM of certain indicia of beneficial ownership for the limited
purpose of this Schedule 13G Amendment, Bruce Berkowitz, Fairholme Funds, Inc.
and FCM hereby disclaim ownership of these shares for purposes of
interpretations under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, or for any
other purpose, except to the extent of their pecuniary interest.

Berkowitz now owns 18% of ACF and between Fairhome and Leucadia (LUK) combined, own over 50%. Leucadia, is Berkowitz’s 7th largest holding.


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Seth Klarman Was Buying This Week

Not everyone was dumping shares this week…

Seth Klarman’s Baupost Group has acquired 6.1 million or 11.7% of Breitburn Energy Partners LP (BBEP).

BreitBurn Energy Partners L.P. is an independent oil and gas partnership focused on the acquisition, exploitation and development of oil and gas properties in the United States. The Company’s assets consist of producing and non-producing crude oil and natural gas reserves located in the Los Angeles Basin in California, the Wind River and Big Horn Basins in central Wyoming, the Permian Basin in West Texas, the Sunniland Trend in Florida, the Antrim Shale in Northern Michigan and the New Albany Shale in Indiana and Kentucky. The Company conducts its operations through a wholly owned subsidiary, BreitBurn Operating L.P. (OLP) and OLP’s general partner BreitBurn Operating GP, LLC. On June 17, 2008, the Partnership announced the acquisition of all of the limited and general partnership interests of the Partnership previously owned by Provident Energy Trust. As part of the transaction, the Partnership acquired a 100% interest in BreitBurn GP, LLC, the general partner of the Partnership.

A theme at the Value Investing Congress this week was oil and gas parnership both for valuation and yield…. Breitburn’s current yield? 17%.


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Seth Klarman at Harvard (video)

A video from May 1st, 2006. Seth Klarman guest lecture at Harvard’s Psychology of Leadership course. It is a 48 minute video but worth the time.


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Seth Klarman Files 13D/A in Horizon Lines

In a just filed 13D/A, Seth Klarman’s Baupost Group disclosed in now holds 13.5% of Horizon Lines (HRZ)

Who is Horizon?

Horizon Lines, Inc.
, formerly known as H-Lines Holding Corp., is a container shipping and integrated logistics company. The Company’s subsidiaries include Horizon Lines, LLC (HL), Horizon Logistics Holdings, LLC (Horizon Logistics) and Horizon Lines of Puerto Rico, Inc. (HLPR). With 21 vessels, 16 of which are fully qualified Jones Act vessels, and approximately 22,000 cargo containers the Company provides shipping and logistics services in its markets. The Company, through its wholly owned subsidiary, Horizon Logistics, offers inland transportation through its own trucking operations on the United States west coast and Alaska, and its integrated logistics services including relationships with third-party truckers, railroads, and barge operators in its markets. The Company ships a spectrum of consumer and industrial items ranging from foodstuffs (refrigerated and non-refrigerated) to household goods and auto parts to building materials and various materials used in manufacturing.

FULL FILING


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Value Investor’s Rejoice: "It is Dead"

A recent article said, “More than a few cynics have proclaimed value investing to be dead. Its plight hasn’t been this dire since the height of the technology bubble.” That bubble also lead to a near decade of outsized return for value investors.

Remember that tech bubble? It was the one before the recent housing bubble? Remember? Berkshire’s (BRK.a) Warren Buffett was mocked and called “out of touch”?

Yahoo (YHOO) traded at 144 times earnings? There were scores of $100 stocks that actually had NO earnings. Good times…..until it all came crashing down.

What survived? Yup, “Out of touch” Warren’s stock went on to almost triple over the next 7 years (“b” share climbed from $1790 to $4900 a share).

Meanwhile, shares of Microsoft (MSFT), Yahoo, Dell (DELL) fell and have never regained anything near their prior levels. There are countless other ones but most of those businesses no longer exist.

Value investing seems to be at its most valuable right when people proclaim its “death”. It is ironic because that is often when we start getting interested in the stock of a company, when the masses hate it.

In Seth Klarman’s “Margin of Safety“, he says “Security prices sometimes fluctuate, not based on any apparent changes in reality, but on changes in investor perception.”

He concludes his first chapter with this:

“The financial markets offer many temptations to vulnerable investors. It is easy to do the wrong thing, to speculate rather than invest. Emotion lies dangerously close to the surface for most investors and can be particularly intense when market prices move dramatically in either direction. It is crucial that investors understand the difference between speculating and investing and learn to take advantage of the opportunities presented
by Mr. Market.”

When people begin to speculate about the demise of histories most successful investing strategy, emotions are running the days an great opportunities will arise.


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Seth Klarman Increases Borders Stake and Invests Heavily in SPAC’s

Somehow I missed this when it was released…..sorry

Baupost Group head and value investor extraordinaire (by that I mean 20% plus annual returns) Seth Klarman has increased his stake in Borders Group (BGP).

Baupost now holds 5.72 million shares, up from 4.9 million held in the May filing.

What is really odd about the filing is the number of “blank check coporations” or SPAC’s Klarman owns shares in.

There is :
Capitol Acquisition Corp. (CLA)- 2.1m shares
BPW Acquisition Corp. (BPW)- 1.1 m shares (including warrants)
China Holdings Acquisition Corp. (HOL)- 1.05m shares
Columbus Acquisition Corp.- (BUS.U)- 750k shares
GHL Acquisition Corp (GHQ)- 3.5m shares (including warrants)
Global Consumer Acquisition Corp. (GHC)- 5.9m shares (including warrants)
GSC ACquisition Corp. (GGA)- 850k shares
Hicks Acquisition Corp. (TOH)- 1.9m shares
Highlands Acquisition Corp. (HIA)- 525k shares
Prospect Acquisition Corp. (PAX)- 3.4m shares (including warrants)

There are a total of 22 SPAC’s listed in the filing. I could not find any relationship to them other than the investment by Klarman and Baupost. It is odd and warrants more looking into. It does seem a bit odd that the SPAC’s are alleged to be “gambling” for ordinary investors but here we have a true value investor, and a very good one going headfirst into these things..


August 13HR Filing

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The Week's Best at VIN

Here are the week’s top stories at Value Investing News

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The Week’s Best at VIN

Here are the week’s top stories at Value Investing News

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Friday's Links

Klarman, Jessie, Movies, Yang

– I wish his book was not $1000

– To quote Rodney Dangerfield, “Now I know why tigers eat their young

– This is the only thing that makes flights tolerable

– Jerry, just go away

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Friday’s Links

Klarman, Jessie, Movies, Yang

– I wish his book was not $1000

– To quote Rodney Dangerfield, “Now I know why tigers eat their young

– This is the only thing that makes flights tolerable

– Jerry, just go away

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Weekend Reading at VIN

Here are the week’s best at Value Investing News

16. Todd Sullivan’s – ValuePlays: Buffett in Wachovia?

(via valueplays.blogspot.com)

Not so fast

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Thursday's Links

Fat Pitch, Gore, FireFox, Klarman

Nice work George……

Why is this news?

I agree

– Anything he says should be listened to

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