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Lampert Adds Snapper Brand to Sears Line-Up

Eddie Lampert continues to stock Sears (SHLD) with well-known quality brands.

Beginning this spring, Sears becomes the exclusive national retailer to sell the Snapper brand of lawn equipment.

From the Press Release:
“As the leading retailer of powered lawn and garden equipment, we’re very pleased to add another all-star brand to our roster,” said Jeff Rothe, vice president and general merchandise manager for Sears Holdings. “Now consumers have both Craftsman, the nation’s leading and most trusted brand, and Snapper — to select from when shopping at Sears for their lawnmower and tractor needs.

“With these two powerhouse brands, plus our existing brands, Sears offers the largest powered lawn and garden assortment to our customers. Additionally, Snapper’s spokesperson Brett Favre will introduce the new mowers, tractors and their availability at Sears in a new national ad campaign set to appear in late February,” Rothe said.

The Snapper line of products will be available in all Sears Full-line stores, Sears Hardware stores and Sears Dealer stores. In addition, look for a new interactive Snapper site on the lawn and garden page sears.com.

Back in November I posted my thoughts that Lampert was attempting to assemble a “store of brands” that could then be advertised to people. This snapper move in another important step in that direction.

The best part is getting Brett Farve in the deal. His promotional activities for both Snapper and Sears are sure to pay off. Farve is a respected name and to witness his effect, the Wrangler Jeans division of VF Corp (VF) experienced record profits in 2006 and 2007 as Farve became the spokes person for them. In short, what he pushes sells.

Lampert is assembling a great brand lineup and it will payoff. In the meantime the cash position of the company remains strong, the share count is evaporating and the balance sheet is the strongest in the industry.

Disclosure: Long Sears

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

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Ackman Enters Into Total Return Swaps in Borders Shares

Pershing’s Bill Ackman entered into “total return swap” agreements 12/31 and 1/2 representing 429,000 shares in Borders Group (BGP)

Swap Details:

The reporting person, for the account of Pershing Square International, Ltd. (“PSIL”), entered into two separate cash-settled total return swaps with a broker-dealer counterparty for a commission equal to $0.02 per notional share subject to such swaps.

1.The first swap (the “First Swap”) was entered into on December 31, 2007 and expires on February 4, 2009. Under the terms of the First Swap (i) PSIL is obligated to pay to the counterparty any negative price performance under $10.7415 for each of the 312,500 notional BGP common shares subject to the swap (the “First Swap Reference Shares”), plus interest, and (ii) the counterparty is obligated to pay to PSIL any positive price performance over $10.7415 for each of the First Swap Reference Shares, plus any dividends paid during the life of the swap.

2. The second swap (the “Second Swap”), also for the account of PSIL, was entered into on January 2, 2008 and expires on February 4, 2009. Under the terms of the Second Swap (i) PSIL is obligated to pay to the counterparty any negative price performance under $10.5534 for each of the 116,800 notional BGP common shares subject to the swap (the “Second Swap Reference Shares,” together with the First Swap Reference Shares, the “Reference Shares”), plus interest, and (ii) the counterparty is obligated to pay to PSIL any positive price performance over $10.5534 for each of the Second Swap Reference Shares, plus any dividends paid during the life of the swap. In the case of both the First Swap and Second Swap, all balances will be cash settled and there will be no transfer to or from PSIL of voting or dispositive power over the Reference Shares.

This is a fascinating trade for Ackman. Readers may remember Sears Holdings (SHLD) Eddie Lampert in 2006 and early 2007 having similar transactions in an undisclosed security.

Disclosure: No position

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ValuePlays: Best and Worst Calls of 2007

It is the end of the year and it is time to take credit for the prophetic like calls I have made and then take my lumps for the, well, “was he drinking?” ones.

BEST:

1- Starbucks (SBUX). On Feb 8th, with shares at $33, I wrote, “The switch to premium coffee is clearly working for McDonald’s. In the last couple conference calls they have given huge credit to their coffee for both their increase in sales and customer counts. Contrast this to Starbucks’ call in which they intimated their profit increases were mainly due to price increases on coffee and by selling customers more products once inside, not by increased customer counts. Translation, they are losing people to McDonalds (MCD).”

Since then Starbucks shares have cratered, down 40% and McDonalds shares are up 40% to all-time highs.

2- Oil (USO). On Jan. 30th, I wrote with oil at its lowest point since the index was created, “If you are long term (years) you are really only looking at supply and demand, as long as it does not change from its current long term trend, the price must go up.” Since then the price has risen roughly 70%.

3- Harley Davidson (HOG): On Feb.7th with shares at $70 I wrote, “It will get cheaper”. The initial price point was set at $60 and was then was reduce over the summer to under $45, where shares sit today, a 35% decline.

I have a feeling I will end up buying Harley shares around $40 in the not too distant future.

4- Dow Chemical: On 12/7 I wrote: “How about using the very same strategy they have been using for the past year? Selling chunk of this business to outsiders and placing them into the Joint Venture (JV) category. This would provide Dow billions of dollars instantly to be deployed in buying some specialty chemical makers without impairing the balance sheet.”

The next week Dow did just that.

5- Ethanol: In January I said that 2007 & 08 will be a battle for the hearts of the FOS’s (fly over states) for politicians and that battle would be fought with ethanol. Each party would battle to bring the largest biofuel mandate to that area and the #1 benefactor would be Archer Daniels Midland (ADM). Sure enough the 2007 Energy Bill featured massive biofuel increases. ADM? Up 50% since January.

WORST

1- Google (GOOG). On Feb. 2nd, I wrote with shares of Google at $500 “I repeat my prior statement. Google is a great company with great product, it’s stock is just overpriced.”

Since then shares have risen 35% to $685. I still think it is overpriced, maybe next year we will be able to move this one to the “best call column”. Who knows…

2- Apple (AAPL). On May 16th, with shares at $110, I wrote “the introduction of the iPhone will be the first miscue for the company and send it’s shares, priced for perfection tumbling.”

Shares since then have risen 63% to $185. Here was the flaw, iPod and especially Mac sales have exploded and with it, the profitability of the company. iPhone sales have been “lukewarm” or “spectacularly average”? It surely has not been a flop but it has not been a smash hit either. The real winner in the iPhone rollout was AT&T (T), the sole carrier of the product. In all fairness to myself I did also say the phone at $599 was way over priced and apparently Apple agreed (or sluggish sales indicated) as the price was dropped 33% to $399 almost immediately after roll-out and $100 refunds given to early buyers. In my initial May post I did say “drop the price to $299 and you’ll have something”. Apple met me more than half way.

With Verizon (VZ) and Research in Motion (RIMM) the Blackberry maker coming out with touch screen phones in ’08, it will be interesting to see how iPhone sales are effected.

The Jury is Still Out

1- Citigroup (C): Down 30% since first purchase.

2- Sears Holdings (SHLD): Ditto Citigroup

3- Owens Corning (OC): Down 30% since purchase

These do not go into the “worst” category for the simple reason I still hold them and as a value investor, you buy stocks when they are down, you are either right or wrong a year or two down the road, not in a few months. If these are still where they are now at thing time next year, we will have to move them into the “worst” category if for no other reason, the thought process behind the purchases and when they were made was flawed.

Please feel free to email or comment on any other ones you can think of and I will be happy to expand on any of them. I sure there are others but these are the ones off the top of my head…

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ValuePlays Most Popular Posts for December

1- Has Lampert “Lost It”?, Did Buffett?

2- Eddie Lampert, World’s Worst Third World Dictator? Come on, Herb!!

3- MFP Investor’s Micheal Price on Sears Holdings

4- Autozone Easily Beats Estimates. Is Lampert a Genius Again?

5- Did Lampert Dump Burnett?

6- Walmart.com Blows away Competition.

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Online Retail Traffic Through 12/22

I have an interesting question about the group.

1. www.walmart.com (WMT)= 7.94%
2. www.target.com (TGT)= 5.06%
3. www.bestbuy.com (BBY)= 3.96%
4. www.sears.com / www.kmart.com (SHLD)= 3.72%
5. www.circuitcity.com (CC)= 3.07%
6. www.jcpenney.com (JCP)= 2.03%
7. www.toysrus.com (private)= 1.97%
8. www.macys.com (M) = 1.43%
9. www.kohls.com (KSS)= 1.3%

Data from Hitwise

The question? How in all that is holy can Circuit City be losing money? They have been in the top 5 all season and are currently the only one of the group losing cash. Pathetic comes to mind…

Wal-Mart has commanded essentially a 3% lead over #2 Target all fall. Now, with Target announcing a recent December sales disappointment, this 3% may be the difference for Wal-Mart being successful this holiday season. When you add Wal-Mart advertising of its very popular “site-to-st0re” program and Target’s lack thereof, a hard lesson may have been l;earned by Target execs this season.

What will be interesting is to see results from Sears Holdings which has a similar program but did not advertise it as hard..

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Circuit City: I Am At a Loss

How could you announce million dollar “retention” bonuses for executives and then days later announce results like this? Watching these guys operate is like watching a monkey try to impregnate a football.

For the three months ended Nov. 30, Circuit City’s (CC) losses ballooned to $207.3 million, or $1.26 per share, from $20.4 million, or 12 cents per share, a year ago. Excluding tax-related accounting items, losses totaled 64 cents per share in the latest period.

Sales slipped 3 percent to $2.96 billion from $3.06 billion a year earlier, with sales at stores open at least a year falling 5.6 percent.

CEO Phillip Schoonover still insists Circuit City is on the right track. “We’re implementing the right initiatives to lead to profitability and sustained growth,” he said. “We’re staying the course on our longer-term strategic initiatives.” By long term do you mean by the end of the decade Phil? I mean it has taken you three years to ruin the company, do you really think you can bring it back faster?

Regarding the bonus announcements, Schoonover said the bonuses are essential to keep together a team he spent three years assembling. Three years assembling a team to get these results? Far from getting bonuses for staying with CC, these incompetent buffoons ought to be thanking god everyday they are even employed.

Bruce H. Besanko, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer made the following inexplicable statement regarding the bonuses:

“The base program that we have in place was a combination of stock options and restricted shares. Because of the current stock performance, that program for many of our executives was underwater and so far underwater that it didn’t have any meaningful value over time. In addition to that, our senior most executives did not receive a bonus for the last two years and will not receive a bonus based on this year’s performance. So we have two plans now to retain those leaders. One is our cash-based retention program and two is a stock-based incentive program which is in line with our annual stock-based incentive program and I feel I have the tools in place now to keep the management and leadership as well as the managers at all levels in the company engaged in this work.”

Essentially, he is saying that because the executives performance has been so bad, under the old plan, they were not eligible for a bonus. That being said, CC decided just to lower the bar, just show up for the next three years, performance be damned to get your money. This is disgusting.

This makes me want to buy shares just to bash them every single day……how can shareholders stand for this?

If that isn’t enough to have shareholders going into vapor-lock, Schoonover then said, “We are very dissatisfied with our third quarter results. We underestimated the financial impact from the disruption of our transformation work.” Here it comes “We believe that these issues are primarily self-induced”.

He “believes” they are? What else could it be? What were they doing, remodeling stores in the middle of the Christmas shopping season? Shares are down 25% today and now down 70% for the year.

Back in June
when people speculated Eddie Lampert and Sears might make a run at CC, I opined, “Eddie Lampert, based on past history would just be as likely to wait for these buffoons to run it into bankruptcy and buy it there even cheaper than now.”

It just may get there next year…..

Let’s not forget that current management turned down a $20 offer per share from private equity not too long ago…. shareholders will never see that price again, not with these guys in charge.

Finally, A note to Herb Greenberg: How can you in all intellectual honesty say Eddie Lampert at Sears Holdings (SHLD) is worse than this guy? Herb, Sears IS MAKING MONEY!!!!

This is a call for Herb to do a “do over” with his pick for 2007. We’ll give him a Mulligan or should we now call it a Greenberg?

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Circuit City Approves Executive Awards for Lousy Performance

I guess we finally found out where the money Circuit City (CC) saved by “letting go” its highest paid and most experienced sales people earlier in the year is going, to the folks who made the ill-fated decision.

In an SEC filing, CC said the company’s board approved “retention awards” of $1 million for executive vice presidents and $600,000 for senior vice presidents. The awards will be effective as of January 1, 2008, and vest over a three-year period. Circuit City said the awards were intended “to ensure the stability of the company’s leadership team by providing an incentive” for the officers to stay.

Included in the payouts are Bruce H. Besanko, chief financial officer; George D. Clark Jr., executive vice president for multi-channel sales; and general counsel Reginald D. Hedgebeth.

CEO Philip Schoonover will not be participating in the retention plan, but would be able to receive long-term incentive awards under a 2003 stock incentive plan. Based on both the company’s and the stocks performance, Schoonover gets nothing and in all reality will be fired before next year is out anyway.

One would think shareholders would be outraged by this. They have watched this team lose almost 75% of the company’s market cap this year as shares have fallen from $22 to $6. If we go back a another year, the losses jump to 80% from $30 a share.

I guess the questions is, why would shareholders want to retain these guys? By almost every metric, Circuit City is worse off. Since FY 2005 ended its cash position has steadily deteriorated (from $1 billion to $400 million), debt has almost tripled and market share has plummeted. They did manage to raise the dividend this year from 16 cents a share from 7 cents in 2005 but given the company’s precarious financial situation, even that decision is questionable.

Both Best Buy (BBY), Wal-Mart (WMT) and Sears Holdings (SHLD) all have reported strong electronics sales this Christmas. If Circuit City does not do the same, there ought to be a shareholder revolt.

It just seems that every time we hear from Circuit City, they leave us scratching our heads. At least we are not shareholders, they are probably pounding their heads on a table.

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MFP Investors Micheal Price on Sears Holdings

Mr. Price talks to Bloomberg about his largest investment, Sears Holdings (SHLD)

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Sears vs Competition: A Look At The Balance Sheet

The more I sit an think about Sears Holdings and Herb Greenberg’s naming Eddie Lampert “worst CEO” for 2007 (he is not Sears’s CEO for those of you who do not know) I though I would take a look at it’s competitions situation. The reason is simple. If we are headed for a slowdown, which company is in the best financial shape to whether the storm?

Looking at three basic elements:
1- Cash
2- Cash per share
3- Debt to Equity

The results are all as of the latest quarters results and we will compare Sears to 4 rivals: JC Penny, Kohl’s, Macy’s and Home Depot.

The results will surprise non-Sears followers.

Cash:
Sears Holdings (SHLD)= $1.5 billion
Home Depot (HD)= $550 million
Kohl’s (KSS)= $295 million
Macy’s (M)= $275 million
JC Penny (JCP)= $150 million

Well, Sears has $400 million more dollars sitting in the bank that it’s rivals combined! Now we need to see how much of that cash is there on a per-share basis. After all, we are buying an interest in the company by the share so we need to know how much of that cash is ours per share we purchase.

Cash Per share Outstanding:

Sears Holdings= $10.71
JC Penny= $7.48
Kohl’s= $1.22
Macy’s= $ .63
Home Depot= $.32

Now, cash is great but if it is offset by huge debt, its benefit to the company is minimized.

Debt to Equity (lower is better):
Sears Holdings= 25%
Kohl’s= 35%
Home Depot= 71%
JC Penny= 78%
Macy’s= 96%

Now, let’s look at a chart for the past year for all three retailers. Almost identical, reflecting a negative retail environment.

What you typically see in environments like this is businesses in a stressed sector will begin to to struggle. They may look for cash investments like Citigroup (C) did recently in the financial sector or their existence will come into doubt as was the case with both Kmart and Sears when Lampert bought them.

When that happens, the winner is always the company is the strongest financial position that can pick up a business at a dirt cheap price, wait for the environment to turn around and then reap the benefits. In this case that retailer is Sears. Warren Bufffet’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) has been doing business this way for decades, making shareholders millionaires many times over. Simply put, Lampert has taken two essentially bankrupt retailers and turned them into the retailer with a pristine balance sheet.

When you consider that Sears has 25% of its share sold short, when retailers turn around and profits begin increasing again, shares will explode to the upside.

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Lampert Still Adding to AutoNation (AN) Stake

In another SEC filings Thursday night Sears Holdings (SHLD) Chairman Eddie Lampert again added to his AutoNation (AN) stake.

Lampert acquired an additional 573,200 shares of the company at prices between $15.74 and $16.32 a share on 12/12. This brings the total number of shares under his control to 58.5 million or just over 32% of the total.

Shares are held by the following entities controlled by Lampert:

*Shares of common stock, par value $0.01 per share (“Shares”), of AutoNation, Inc. (the “Issuer”) are held by ESL Partners, L.P. (“Partners”).
*Shares are held by ESL Institutional Partners, L.P. (“Institutional”).
*Shares are held in an account established by the investment member of ESL Investors, L.L.C. (“Investors”).
*Shares are held by CBL Partners, L.P. (“CBL”).
*Shares are held by ESL Investment Management, L.P. (“ESLIM”).
*Shares are held by RBS Partners, L.P. (“RBS”).
*Shares are held by Edward S. Lampert.

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Retails Sales, Inflation & Jobs: Why Would the Fed Cut Again?

This news today had to put a crimp in the “fed will cut again” camp..

Retail sales increased by 1.2%, up from an an unrevised 0.2% in October. The estimate from economists was a 0.6% advance in November. They had been expecting consumer spending, and the economy as a whole, to slow sharply in the final months of 2007. Thursday’s figure show that is just is not happening.

Here is here it gets bad for those wanting another cut from the Fed.

The PPI jumped 3.2% in November, the biggest one-month rise since August 1973. The core PPI, which excludes food and energy, was up 0.4%, matching the biggest increase in one year. This doubled expectations of a 1.7% rise in the headline index and 0.2% rise in the core. In the 12 months through November, wholesale prices rose 7.2%, the largest increase since November 1981. If we drill down into the production pipeline, we see proof that inflationary pressures are increasing. Prices of raw materials rose 8.7%, though excluding food and energy they fell 0.5%. The prices of intermediate goods rose 3.7% overall and were up 1% excluding food and energy.

Finally, the number of U.S. workers filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week, consistent with the recent increases in monthly payrolls we have seen. Initial claims for jobless benefits fell by 7,000 to 333,000. Once again this was better than estimates that had expected no change from the previous week.

The four-week average of new claims, used to even out weekly volatility, fell by 2,000 to 338,750.

So, we have higher retail sales than expected, higher employment than expected and higher inflation that expected. Why would the Fed be inclined to cut again? If their charge is to balance growth and inflation, then currently the risk is too higher inflation.

The real problem here is that Wall St. just thinks things are far worse than they actually are. In all reality, things are not bad a t all. Sure housing sucks but unless you are actually selling a home, it had very little effect on you.

I mean the folks down the street are trying to sell their house (it is way overpriced), their success or failure in that venture has ZERO effect on my holiday spending plans. I am pretty sure the other 60 plus households in the development feel the same way.

do not fret though, as 1/1/2008 rolls around and we fund the Coverdales and IRA’s for the year, there will still be plenty or real cheap picks out there to choose from. My top choices will be Citigroup (C), Dow Chemical (DOW), Sherwin Williams (SHW), Sears Holdings (SHLD) and Wachovia (WB).

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Lampert Adds to AutoNation Stake

In SEC filings tonight Sears Holdings (SHLD) Chairman Eddie Lampert added to his AutoNation (AN) stake today.

Lampert acquired an additional 534,500 shares of the company at prices between $16.79 and $17.32 a share on 12/10 and 12/11. This brings the total number of shares under his control to 58 million or just over 32% of the total.

Shares are held by the following entities controlled by Lampert:

*Shares of common stock, par value $0.01 per share (“Shares”), of AutoNation, Inc. (the “Issuer”) are held by ESL Partners, L.P. (“Partners”).
*Shares are held by ESL Institutional Partners, L.P. (“Institutional”).
*Shares are held in an account established by the investment member of ESL Investors, L.L.C. (“Investors”).
*Shares are held by CBL Partners, L.P. (“CBL”).
*Shares are held by ESL Investment Management, L.P. (“ESLIM”).
*Shares are held by RBS Partners, L.P. (“RBS”).
*Shares are held by Edward S. Lampert.

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Sears Holdings Files 13-d Regarding Restoration

There was a very interesting tidbit in the 13-D filed by Sears Holdings (SHLD) regarding its bid for Restoration Hardware (RSTO) with the SEC today.

Here it the filing:

“In June 2007, on behalf of Sears Holdings, the Chairman of Sears Holdings and another member of the Board of Directors of Sears Holdings approached a non-management director of the Issuer to inquire as to his views concerning a possible business combination or other strategic transaction involving the Issuer and Sears Holdings. This director advised Sears Holdings to contact the Chief Executive Officer of the Issuer. Following this conversation, the Chairman of Sears Holdings spoke with the Chief Executive Officer of the Issuer and discussed the potential benefits of a business or strategic combination between Sears Holdings and the Issuer. After that conversation, the Chairman of Sears Holdings spoke to the non-management director of the Issuer with whom he had previously spoken and this director suggested that the Chairman of Sears Holdings continue speaking with the Chief Executive Officer of the Issuer. Shortly thereafter, the Chairman of Sears Holdings requested an opportunity to meet in person with the Chief Executive Officer of the Issuer to discuss the benefits of a transaction involving the Issuer and Sears Holdings. Due to scheduling conflicts, the Chairman of Sears Holdings and the Chief Executive Officer of the Issuer did not meet during the summer.

In early October, the Chairman of Sears Holdings, the President of Sears Holdings’ Lands’ End business and a non-management member of Sears Holdings’ Board of Directors had a meeting with the Chief Executive Officer of the Issuer. Sears Holdings did not enter into a confidentiality agreement or receive non-public information about the Issuer or its business in connection with these discussions, and no price or terms of any transaction were solicited by the Issuer nor proposed by Sears Holdings. In late October, in a conversation with the Chairman of Sears Holdings, the Chief Executive Officer of the Issuer informed Sears Holdings for the first time that the Issuer was considering a potential management buyout transaction and that a Special Committee of the Board had been established. After being informed of this development, Sears Holdings sent a letter to Raymond C. Hemmig, chairman of the Special Committee of the Board of Directors of the Issuer, proposing a transaction at $4.00 per Share (a 39% premium to the Shares’ closing price of $2.87 on the last trading day prior to Sears Holdings making its proposal) and informing him of Sears Holdings’ potential to increase the offer as a result of information gained from a due diligence process. Mr. Hemmig later responded by e-mail that the Special Committee was not prepared to have Sears Holdings engage with the Issuer’s management team and advisers in due diligence on the proposed terms and indicated that in order to have the opportunity to engage in due diligence Sears Holdings should revise its proposal to offer a substantially higher price.

On November 8, 2007, the Company announced it had entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the “Home Merger Agreement”) with Home Holdings, LLC, a Delaware limited liability company, and Home Merger Sub, Inc., a Delaware corporation and a wholly owned subsidiary of Home Holdings, LLC.

On November 23, 2007, Sears Holdings sent a letter to the Special Committee of the Board of Directors of the Issuer (the “November 23 Letter”) providing the Special Committee, at its request, with a proposal to offer holders of Shares of the Issuer $6.75 per Share in cash via a tender offer, subject to the terms set forth in the November 23 Letter. The November 23 Letter also stated that Sears Holdings would contemplate entering into a merger agreement on terms substantially similar to the Home Merger Agreement, modified as necessary to accommodate a tender offer structure and with a lower, more reasonable break-up fee than contained in the Home Merger Agreement. A copy of the November 23 Letter is attached hereto as Exhibit 1 and incorporated by reference into this Item 4.

Subsequent to sending the November 23 Letter, representatives of Sears Holdings and the financial advisor for the Issuer and counsel to Sears Holdings and counsel to the Issuer and counsel to the Special Committee engaged in discussions about a confidentiality agreement and Sears Holdings’ proposal. On December 7, 2007, after extensive negotiations, Sears Holdings and the Issuer entered into a confidentiality agreement on terms permitted by the Home Merger Agreement (the “Confidentiality Agreement”). A copy of the Confidentiality Agreement is attached hereto as Exhibit 2 and incorporated by reference into this Item 4.

Subject to the terms of the Confidentiality Agreement, Sears Holdings intends to evaluate the Issuer and the desirability of confirming the proposal set forth in the November 23 Letter (or a proposal on substantially similar terms). Subject to the terms of the Confidentiality Agreement, Sears Holdings also intends to review its holdings of Shares on a continuing basis and in that connection expects to consider various factors including, without limitation, the current and anticipated future trading price levels of the Shares, the status of the transactions contemplated by the Home Merger Agreement, the financial condition, results of operations and prospects of the Issuer, tax considerations, any non-public information which it receives from the Issuer, conditions in the home furnishings industry and securities markets, general economic and industry conditions, other investment and business opportunities available to Sears Holdings, and other factors that Sears Holdings may deem relevant, and will in the future take such actions with respect to Sears Holdings investment in the Issuer as it deems appropriate. Such actions that Sears Holdings may take include, subject to the terms of the Confidentiality Agreement but otherwise without limitation: (a) announcing its intention or plan to undertake or otherwise undertaking an extraordinary corporate transaction such as a tender offer or exchange offer for some or all of the Shares or a merger, consolidation, other business combination or reorganization involving the Issuer; (b) increasing or decreasing its position in the Issuer through, among other things, the purchase or sale of Shares in open market or private transactions for cash or for other consideration; (c) seeking to acquire or influence control of the Issuer, including seeking representation on the board of the Issuer; (d) entering into derivative transactions, engaging in short selling of or any hedging or similar transactions with respect to the Shares; or (e) taking any other action similar to those listed above. Subject to the terms of the Confidentiality Agreement, any open market or privately negotiated purchases, sales, distributions or other transactions may be made at any time without further prior notice”.

The part that got me the most? “In early October, the Chairman of Sears Holdings, the President of Sears Holdings’ Lands’ End business”

Just yesterday I posted that my thesis for Lampert wanting Restoration was its mail order business. The success of that part of Restoration despite the current retail environment in the last quarter underscored its strength and the possibilities for it. I further stated that I thought a Lands End and Restoration combination was the likely reason for his interest.

Now we find out that in October Lampert had Lands End’s President accompany him to see Restoration’s CEO. It would appear as though Lampert was thinking along the same lines, a Restoration / Lands End combination.

The filing also states that Sears may at any time take any action it deems appropriate regarding the acquisition or disposition of shares in Restoration. Simply put, Lampert got the confidential information he wanted without giving up his ability to seek other channels to acquire more control of the company.

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The Reason Lampert wants Restoration?

Perhaps this little nugget is the reason for Sears Holdings (SHLD) interest in Restoration (RSTO).

Let’s ignore the store traffic and start with the mail order division (think Lands End)..

Third quarter net revenues increased $16.6 million compared to the year ago period, primarily driven by growth in the Company’s Direct-to-Customer segment. Direct-to-Customer revenues were $97.2 million and accounted for 56% of total revenues, up from 36% of total revenues in the third quarter of last year. The increase reflects growth in catalog and page circulation, and a continuing shift in revenues from the Stores segment to the Direct-to-Customer segment resulting from management’s multi-channel merchandising and marketing strategies and operational changes implemented in the second quarter of 2007. Revenues in the Stores segment were $76.5 million in the third quarter of 2007.

So, Lampert is offering about $262 million for a company with more than $150 million in owned inventory, $1.7 million in cash, $8.5 million in receivables and a mail order division with profits of about $32 million a year that grew 71% over last year. If we take those numbers alone, Lampert will receive $192 million back for his purchase price almost immediately.

By merging Restorations back end operations with Land’s End, profitability at the segment will jump. One also has to consider the added benefits to both catalogues by cross selling merchandise in them. Perhaps a combined Land’s End / Restoration issue?

Of Monday’s results, Gary Friedman, President and Chief Executive Officer, stated, “Weakening consumer spending and traffic levels continued to affect our business in the third quarter, particularly higher ticket durable categories. Revenue did not achieve our expectations, driving substantially all of our larger than anticipated operating loss in the quarter. While we are encouraged by some of the early holiday trends in our business, we remain cautious due to the macro economic environment, which has proven highly challenging for the home furnishings sector this year.”

The same song has been sung by all housing related retailers this fall like home Depot (HD), Lowes (LOW) and Sears itself.

Lampert will end up getting Restoration for essentially nothing. Sound familiar? Is restoration a huge deal that will make a huge difference in the $53 billion in annual sales Sears generates? No. But Lampert is picking up a quality brand name at a song that will generate positive results and will add to the current brand base Lampert has .

True, Restoration’s results sucked and well, that is why Lampert can get it so cheap. It is called “value” investing for a reason.

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CompUSA: Bad News for Best Buy and Circuit City

It is one thing to have competition no one goes to, it is another to have people then rush to it when they give things away. This may put a dent in both Best Buy (BBY) and Circuit City’s (CC) holidays.

In announcing the closing, CompUSA announced it will be offering “attractive bargains on computer and electronic products as part of store closing sales and its 103 retail stores will remain open through the holidays.

Earlier this year they closed over half of their U.S. retail stores in a bid to streamline operations and bolster margins at top-performing stores. Guess it did not work.

Long term this will benefit all electronics retailers like the one mentioned about and even Wal-Mart (WMT) and Sears Holdings (SHLD), for this holiday season though, it is not good news.

In order to rid itself of inventory, undoubtedly CompUSA will be selling merchandise below cost. It is a move unlikely to be replicated by other retailers and this will affect sales during the next 4 weeks in the 103 markets that have the CompUSA locations.

Will it break the holiday season for other retailers? No. It does have the definite possibility of making a good one average or an average one poor though. If anything good comes of we may get a pullback in one of the names as folks over react to the news and get a nice entry price for shares (except Circuit City).

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